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Mazzei Odds Near 90% Ahead of Oklahoma Governor Primary
A crowded Republican field for Oklahoma governor has not deterred prediction markets from pricing Mike Mazzei as a runaway favorite. The post Mazzei Odds Near 90% Ahead of Oklahoma Governor Primary appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-16 23:10 | |
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Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina Odds: Prediction Markets Back CanMNT at 54% in Opener
Prediction markets back Canada at 54% to beat Bosnia and Herzegovina in their World Cup opener at BMO Field, even without injured captain Alphonso Davies. The post Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina Odds: Prediction Markets Back CanMNT at 54% in Opener appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-12 18:30 | |
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Prediction Market Odds Are Shaping Political Narratives, Raising Manipulation Questions
After Andrew Left's conviction, CFTC Chairman Mike Selig warned manipulation rules apply to prediction markets. Economists say the platforms improve forecast accuracy, but the line between odds and influence is blurring. дальше »
2026-6-5 15:54 | |
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Democratic Momentum Builds in Iowa Senate Race But Odds Still Lean Republican
Iowa's open Senate race is drawing new Democratic optimism after Josh Turek's primary win, but prediction markets still favor Republicans, creating one of the clearest media-versus-market divides of the 2026 cycle. дальше »
2026-6-5 19:46 | |
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Iowa Governor Primary Hands Trump and Prediction Markets a Rare Miss
Trump-backed Randy Feenstra entered Iowa’s GOP governor primary with 80% prediction market odds, but 19% underdog Zach Lahn pulled off the upset. What it means for Iowa and 2026 midterms. The post Iowa Governor Primary Hands Trump and Prediction Markets a Rare Miss appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-4 22:47 | |
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Prediction Markets Still Favor Becerra as California Primary Count Drags On
As California governor primary votes continue to be counted, Xavier Becerra remains the frontrunner at prediction markets with odds at 77-81% to be the next Golden State governor. The post Prediction Markets Still Favor Becerra as California Primary Count Drags On appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-3 20:08 | |
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Platner Scandal Barely Moves Maine Senate Prediction Market Odds
Prediction markets tighten but still favor Democrats in Maine, with Platner holding 60-65% odds despite a recent texting scandal. The post Platner Scandal Barely Moves Maine Senate Prediction Market Odds appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-2 00:55 | |
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NJ GOP Senate Primary Attracts Trading Volume Despite Strong Democratic Hold Odds
Polymarket traders have wagered nearly $440K on New Jersey's GOP Senate primary, while prediction markets continue to price Democrats as overwhelming favorites to hold Sen. Cory Booker's seat in November. дальше »
2026-5-30 00:46 | |
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Trump’s Primary Wave Hits Texas Senate Runoff but Markets Still See Democratic Senate Path
Prediction markets pushed Ken Paxton to dominant odds after President Trump’s endorsement in the Texas Senate runoff, continuing a trend seen in Louisiana and Kentucky while Senate markets still point to a possible Democratic path in 2026. дальше »
2026-5-22 23:20 | |
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Trump’s Paxton Endorsement Has Prediction Markets Treating Texas Senate Runoff as a Done Deal
Ken Paxton odds surged to 94% in the Texas Senate GOP primary following President Donald Trump's endorsement. The post Trump’s Paxton Endorsement Has Prediction Markets Treating Texas Senate Runoff as a Done Deal appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-5-20 03:43 | |
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2026 PGA Championship Volume Tops $365M at Kalshi as Aaron Rai Defies Odds
Kalshi’s markets for the 2026 PGA Championship topped $365. 2 million in volume across all categories, with $9. 8 million of that coming from combos or parlays, according to DeFi Rate’s internal market tracking. дальше »
2026-5-18 20:14 | |
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2026 PGA Championship Odds: Outrights, Round Leaders, and Combos at Kalshi and Polymarket
Kalshi had nearly $130 million in live 2026 PGA Championship-related volume by Day 1, with the outright winner market alone above $110 million. Scottie Scheffler remains the favorite across all prediction markets. дальше »
2026-5-15 16:33 | |
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Rob Sand Pushes Iowa Governor Odds Toward Democrats
Prediction markets are pricing Democrat Rob Sand as a real favorite in deep-red Iowa in the 2026 governor race. The post Rob Sand Pushes Iowa Governor Odds Toward Democrats appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-5-9 22:08 | |
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Operation Epic Fury targets Iran, Khamenei assassination raises leadership change odds
The assassination may destabilize Iran's political landscape, increasing uncertainty and impacting regional security and global markets. The post Operation Epic Fury targets Iran, Khamenei assassination raises leadership change odds appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »
2026-5-8 11:28 | |
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Will Congress Ban Its Members from Trading Stocks? Prediction Markets Are Skeptical
The Senate banned its own members from trading on prediction markets in less than a week. A ban on stock trading has been stalled for years. And the very prediction markets now being restricted are pricing in long odds that lawmakers will ever impose the more meaningful limits on themselves. дальше »
2026-5-7 17:16 | |
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Becerra Surges in California Governor Odds as Ballots Hit Mailboxes
The California governor race has a new leader on prediction markets as ballots go out to residents, and the candidates are teed up for debates this week. Former state Attorney General and Biden-era Health and Human Services Secretary Xavier Becerra has surged into the lead on Kalshi, his California Governor Winner odds spiking above the […] The post Becerra Surges in California Governor Odds as Ballots Hit Mailboxes appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-5-6 22:03 | |
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Georgia Governor Primary Odds Favor Bottoms, Jackson as Polls Lag
Prediction markets favor Keisha Lance Bottoms and Rick Jackson in Georgia’s governor primaries, even as polls show more uncertainty on the GOP side. The post Georgia Governor Primary Odds Favor Bottoms, Jackson as Polls Lag appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-5-6 19:01 | |
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California Billionaire Tax Nears Ballot as Odds Still Lean ‘No’
A proposed one-time California billionaire tax has reportedly cleared the signature hurdle and is moving toward the November ballot, but prediction markets are still trending toward its ultimate failure. дальше »
2026-4-29 22:33 | |
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Will Trump Fire Kash Patel? Polymarket, Kalshi Odds Signal Growing Exit Risk
Prediction markets are pricing Kash Patel's exit as more likely than not. Our aggregated data shows Patel with a 79% chance to leave the Trump administration this year. The post Will Trump Fire Kash Patel? Polymarket, Kalshi Odds Signal Growing Exit Risk appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-4-29 21:59 | |
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Vitalik Buterin Reveals the Easy Money Strategy for Prediction Markets
Prediction markets are supposed to be the internet’s truth machine. They offer a place where real money forces honest thinking. Yet, they have a structural vulnerability. Hype, fear, and confirmation routinely push the odds of absurd outcomes far higher than reality warrants. дальше »
2026-4-28 03:00 | |
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Polymarket odds for Waller Fed chair confirmation surge on Powell probe U-turn
Polymarket catapulted Waller’s Fed chair odds from 27% to 85% after reports the DOJ will drop its criminal probe into Jerome Powell, clearing a key Senate roadblock. Prediction markets have dramatically repriced the odds that Christopher Waller will become the… дальше »
2026-4-25 18:27 | |
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Markets Anticipate Political Trouble for Trump As Impeachment Odds Rise to 70%
Kalshi traders price a 68% chance Trump faces impeachment before 2028 as midterm and geopolitical risks rise. The post Markets Anticipate Political Trouble for Trump As Impeachment Odds Rise to 70% appeared first on BeInCrypto. дальше »
2026-4-23 21:00 | |
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Pakistan mediates US-Iran talks, Trump oil sanction relief odds rise
Pakistan's mediation could stabilize US-Iran relations, potentially easing oil sanctions and impacting global energy markets significantly. The post Pakistan mediates US-Iran talks, Trump oil sanction relief odds rise appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »
2026-4-18 10:47 | |
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Vance Leads GOP 2028 Odds as Markets Price Trump Risk
The Republican side of the 2028 presidential race on prediction markets looks much more structured than the Democratic one, because there is already a traditional heir apparent in Vice President JD Vance. дальше »
2026-4-17 19:55 | |
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Swalwell Odds Plummet from 35% to 1% Before Dropping Out of CA Governor Race
The Rep. Eric Swalwell sex scandal firestorm hasn’t just rattled California politics, it has instantly rearranged the prediction markets odds boards on the state’s high-profile governor’s race. The Scandal has turned a political frontrunner into one of the most tradable fall-from-grace stories in the 2026 cycle. дальше »
2026-4-14 21:38 | |
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Swalwell Odds Plummet from 35% to 1% as Sex Scandal Reprices CA Governor Race
The Rep. Eric Swalwell sex scandal firestorm hasn’t just rattled California politics, it has instantly rearranged the prediction markets odds boards on the state’s high-profile governor’s race. The Scandal has turned a political frontrunner into one of the most tradable fall-from-grace stories in the 2026 cycle. дальше »
2026-4-13 21:38 | |
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US-Iran ceasefire odds plummet as negotiation gaps widen ahead of deadline
Widening negotiation gaps could prolong regional instability, affecting global markets and diplomatic relations beyond the immediate deadline. The post US-Iran ceasefire odds plummet as negotiation gaps widen ahead of deadline appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »
2026-4-7 10:43 | |
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Mojtaba Khamenei unconscious, odds of Iran regime fall rise to 13.5% by June 30
The leadership uncertainty in Iran could lead to increased geopolitical instability and influence global markets and diplomatic relations. The post Mojtaba Khamenei unconscious, odds of Iran regime fall rise to 13. дальше »
2026-4-7 09:26 | |
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Iran regime collapse odds rise to 13.5% as geopolitical tensions escalate: FT
Rising odds of Iran's regime collapse highlight increasing geopolitical instability, impacting global markets and strategic alliances. The post Iran regime collapse odds rise to 13.5% as geopolitical tensions escalate: FT appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »
2026-4-7 04:19 | |
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DeepSeek AI Predicts XRP and Bitcoin Prices if Trump Leaves Office Early
There’s an interesting scenario making the rounds in crypto right now: what if Donald Trump isn’t in office before 2027? It’s not the most likely outcome, but prediction markets put the odds at around 14%. дальше »
2026-4-4 23:00 | |
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Iran boosts defenses as US troop deployment raises odds for ground operations
Rising tensions and military posturing could destabilize the region, impacting global markets and geopolitical alliances significantly. The post Iran boosts defenses as US troop deployment raises odds for ground operations appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »
2026-4-3 12:20 | |
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Ceasefire odds plummet amid ongoing US-Iran tensions and military escalation: FT
The escalating US-Iran tensions and military actions suggest prolonged instability, impacting global markets and diplomatic relations. The post Ceasefire odds plummet amid ongoing US-Iran tensions and military escalation: FT appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »
2026-4-3 07:07 | |
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7M Iranians volunteer to fight as US invasion odds rise to 65.5% by April 30
Rising tensions and volunteer mobilization in Iran could escalate regional instability, impacting global markets and geopolitical dynamics. The post 7M Iranians volunteer to fight as US invasion odds rise to 65. дальше »
2026-4-3 01:49 | |
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Odds of US forces entering Iran by april 30 rise to 63% after trump’s speech
Increased odds of US forces entering Iran could escalate geopolitical tensions, impacting global markets and international relations. The post Odds of US forces entering Iran by april 30 rise to 63% after trump’s speech appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »
2026-4-3 22:09 | |
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Bitcoin traders see 53% odds of sub-$66K BTC by April 24
Bitcoin price slumped on Friday as uncertainty over the US economy and war in Iran negatively impacted stock and crypto markets.
дальше »2026-3-28 00:15 | |
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Maine Senate Primary Odds Tilt to Platner as Traders Eye Key Senate Flip Opportunity
Prediction markets show Graham Platner at ~80% odds to win Maine’s Democratic Senate primary, with over $4M in volume. Traders see the race as a key pathway to a Democratic Senate flip. The post Maine Senate Primary Odds Tilt to Platner as Traders Eye Key Senate Flip Opportunity appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-3-28 18:55 | |
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Texas Senate GOP Race Tightens as Trump Skips Key Endorsement Deadline
Texas Republican Senate runoff odds hold steady across prediction markets — Cornyn leads at 60–62%, Paxton trails at 39–40% — as traders weigh Trump's endorsement fallout and escalating attack ads. дальше »
2026-3-19 18:54 | |
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Kevin Warsh Fed Chair Nomination Official, Settling $807M Prediction Market
Next fed chair prediction markets attracted $806. 9 million in volume across Kalshi and Polymarket, with traders pricing Kevin Warsh at 93% odds just before the official nomination came through on March 4. дальше »
2026-3-5 00:10 | |
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Trump crypto move? Polymarket sees 27% chance of new ‘token’ by year-end
Trump crypto move sparks speculation a new coin as Polymarket prices 27% odds and ethics alarms grow. Donald Trump’s orbit is edging closer to launching another crypto token, and prediction markets are already placing odds on it. Polymarket odds and… дальше »
2026-2-9 12:28 | |
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Who Has the Best Super Bowl Odds? We Compared Top Betting and Trading Apps
We compared odds across Super Bowl game markets, player props, and parlays to see who has the best pricing across: Kalshi, DraftKings Predictions, OG predictions app and FanDuel Sportsbook. The post Who Has the Best Super Bowl Odds? We Compared Top Betting and Trading Apps appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-2-9 02:19 | |
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Kalshi Super Bowl Odds: Bad Bunny, Seahawks, MVP and Halftime Right Now
Prediction markets have taken in over $1 billion in Super Bowl volume, with more than $230 million trading on the Kalshi game-winner contract alone. With kickoff at Levi’s Stadium in two hours, we’ve put together a snapshot of our tracked Super Bowl odds markets on Kalshi and Polymarket. дальше »
2026-2-9 01:18 | |
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Kevin Warsh’s odds to become Fed chair surge to 92% after Trump hints at familiar pick
Warsh's potential appointment could signal a shift in monetary policy direction, impacting financial markets and economic strategies globally. The post Kevin Warsh’s odds to become Fed chair surge to 92% after Trump hints at familiar pick appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »
2026-1-30 07:26 | |
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Bitcoin faces slide to $60,000 if impending US shutdown triggers a statistical blackout
Bitcoin traders are aggressively positioning for a US government shutdown that could begin Jan. 31 if Congress fails to extend funding that expires Jan. 30. The urgency of the setup is visible in prediction markets, where odds changes have become tradable headlines in their own right. дальше »
2026-1-28 17:05 | |
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Bitcoin falls as US shutdown odds hit 78% in prediction markets
Bitcoin extended losses as US shutdown odds climbed toward 80% on prediction markets, with analysts citing political risk while gold and silver hit record highs. Bitcoin (BTC) declined amid rising political uncertainty in the United States as concerns mounted over… дальше »
2026-1-26 14:26 | |
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Odds of BlackRock CIO becoming next Fed chair peak ahead of Trump call
The potential appointment of BlackRock's CIO as Fed chair could influence financial markets and policy direction, impacting economic stability. The post Odds of BlackRock CIO becoming next Fed chair peak ahead of Trump call appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »
2026-1-24 05:53 | |
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Senate GOP Drops New Crypto Bill Draft As Odds of Passing Stagnate
The updated CLARITY Act draft from Senate republicans reshapes SEC and CFTC oversight as prediction markets now peg its chances at just under 60%. The post Senate GOP Drops New Crypto Bill Draft As Odds of Passing Stagnate appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-1-23 21:31 | |
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Bitcoin dips on Trump’s Greenland tariffs as prediction markets stay cool
Trump’s Greenland tariff threat sparks a Bitcoin selloff, but prediction markets keep annexation odds low as analysts stress macro and structural BTC demand. Former President Donald Trump announced on Jan. дальше »
2026-1-21 16:26 | |
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Trump DOJ Threatens Fed Chair Powell But Markets Forecast Stability
Prediction market odds have been volatile since Powell's response to Trump's threat of criminal charges, but they are forecasting short-term fed stability. The post Trump DOJ Threatens Fed Chair Powell But Markets Forecast Stability appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-1-15 22:43 | |
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