2026-4-17 19:55 |
The Republican side of the 2028 presidential race on prediction markets looks much more structured than the Democratic one, because there is already a traditional heir apparent in Vice President JD Vance. origin »
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The Iran peace talks that energy and financial markets have been tracking for weeks are underway today in Islamabad, with Vice President JD Vance joining envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner for the first face-to-face meeting since the fragile two-week…
2026-4-11 02:15 | |
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Polymarket is rapidly increasing how much revenue it captures from its international prediction market platform, as it expands trading fees across more markets types. Data from Dune Analytics shows the shift clearly.
The week of April 6–11 was the strongest yet for prediction markets, driven by The Masters and a combination of US election races and geopolitical events. Kalshi posted an all-time best $3. 54B in notional volume (+21.
In letter to CFTC, Democratic members of Congress cite CEA authority to target offshore platforms like Polymarket, as enforcement precedent and U.S. access shape the case for action. The post Lawmakers Urge CFTC Crackdown on Offshore Prediction Markets appeared first on DeFi Rate.
Four months after its debut, Polymarket US is done easing in. Built on a CFTC-regulated exchange and clearinghouse, a fee structure that undercuts every major competitor, and a liquidity stack designed to scale, the platform is now moving fast, and the numbers back it up.
Prediction markets are now pricing the next Trump Cabinet exits and new Attorney General after Kalshi and Polymarket traders accurately predicted the Bondi exit. The post Traders Predicted Bondi Exit, Now Pricing Next Cabinet Shakeups appeared first on DeFi Rate.
Both platforms hit March records, then diverged: Kalshi rose 6.4% in the week of March 30 while Polymarket fell 12%, widening Kalshi's notional volume lead to $932M. The post Kalshi Extends Volume Lead to Nearly $1B on Polymarket Crypto Dip appeared first on DeFi Rate.