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Polymarket / Заголовки новостей

Polymarket adds Bundesliga as exclusive U.S. prediction market partner

Polymarket announced on June 23 that it had become the exclusive prediction market partner of Bundesliga in the U.S., adding another major sports property to a growing list of commercial agreements across sports, media, and technology. The company said official… дальше »

2026-6-23 10:29

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Prediction Markets Treat New York House Primaries as Wrapped

Despite close polling, prediction markets are treating some New York House primaries as done deals. The post Prediction Markets Treat New York House Primaries as Wrapped appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »

2026-6-23 01:09

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Prediction Markets Put Wilson Over 90% as Evette’s South Carolina Governor Bid Unravels

Prediction markets take huge swing heading into South Carolina republican runoff for governor nominee. The post Prediction Markets Put Wilson Over 90% as Evette’s South Carolina Governor Bid Unravels appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »

2026-6-23 18:05

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Wall Street Journal report claims Polymarket used fake wagers in creator promotions

Polymarket has faced allegations that it paid social media creators to promote fake bets and fabricated winnings through replica versions of its prediction market platform, a Wall Street Journal investigation has found. дальше »

2026-6-23 10:06

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California Billionaire Tax Qualifies for Ballot, Prediction Markets Still Bet Against It

The ballot push for a California billionaire tax has cleared one hurdle, but prediction markets still think it is a long shot. The post California Billionaire Tax Qualifies for Ballot, Prediction Markets Still Bet Against It appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »

2026-6-21 20:14

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Alabama Senate Runoff Gives Trump, Prediction Markets Another Easy Senate Primary Win

Prediction markets notched another Senate primary win tailing a Trump-endorsed candidate in Alabama. The post Alabama Senate Runoff Gives Trump, Prediction Markets Another Easy Senate Primary Win appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »

2026-6-21 18:05

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Prediction Markets Miss On Another Trump Pick in Oklahoma

Prediction markets strongly backed Mike Mazzei for Oklahoma governor heading into Tuesday, where he placed second to force a runoff. The post Prediction Markets Miss On Another Trump Pick in Oklahoma appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »

2026-6-17 18:52

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Georgia Runoffs Offer Split Result For Prediction Markets

Prediction markets followed President Trump's endorsements heading into runoff elections, ending up with split results. The post Georgia Runoffs Offer Split Result For Prediction Markets appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »

2026-6-17 18:01

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Prediction Markets Reverse Course in South Carolina Governor Runoff

Prediction markets take a sharp turn in the South Carolina Republican governor runoff race ahead of the June 23 election. The post Prediction Markets Reverse Course in South Carolina Governor Runoff appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »

2026-6-17 17:41

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Collins Takes the Georgia Senate Prediction Markets Lead Before the Runoff

On the morning of the Georgia Senate Republican runoff, prediction markets had already settled the race. The post Collins Takes the Georgia Senate Prediction Markets Lead Before the Runoff appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »

2026-6-16 16:34

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Mazzei Odds Near 90% Ahead of Oklahoma Governor Primary

A crowded Republican field for Oklahoma governor has not deterred prediction markets from pricing Mike Mazzei as a runaway favorite. The post Mazzei Odds Near 90% Ahead of Oklahoma Governor Primary appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »

2026-6-16 23:10

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Prediction Markets Set To Test Trump Power Again In Alabama Senate Race

Prediction markets are giving Barry Moore a major edge around 80-84% over Jared Hudson in the Alabama Republican Senate runoff. The post Prediction Markets Set To Test Trump Power Again In Alabama Senate Race appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »

2026-6-16 19:32

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Georgia Governor Prediction Markets Heavily Favor Jones as GOP Runoff Nears

While polls are split on Georgia Republican governor runoff, prediction markets appear certain on the winner. The post Georgia Governor Prediction Markets Heavily Favor Jones as GOP Runoff Nears appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »

2026-6-16 19:29

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Japan’s Bitbank warns users of account suspensions over Polymarket transactions

Japanese crypto exchange Bitbank has warned customers that accounts connected to prediction market platforms such as Polymarket could face suspension. According to a notice published by Japanese cryptocurrency exchange Bitbank, users who deposit to or withdraw from prediction market services… дальше »

2026-6-15 11:45

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Kalshi, Crypto.com and Polymarket US Sue to Block Kentucky Prediction Market Tax

The lawsuit challenges Kentucky’s 14. 25% tax and limits on gaming operators’ prediction market ties while also revealing the new Coalition for Fair Markets, which brings rival federally-regulated platforms under one legal banner The post Kalshi, Crypto. дальше »

2026-6-14 21:50

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Prediction Markets Call Platner Primary Win, But Maine Senate Is No Lock

Graham Platner cleared the Democratic Maine Senate primary despite tough stretch, but prediction markets are tightening ahead of November. The post Prediction Markets Call Platner Primary Win, But Maine Senate Is No Lock appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »

2026-6-14 01:46

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From Ronaldo Tears to Trump Photo Ops, World Cup Prediction Markets Move Beyond the Pitch 

World Cup markets on Kalshi and Polymarket show the platforms testing how much of the tournament’s surrounding culture can become tradable. The post From Ronaldo Tears to Trump Photo Ops, World Cup Prediction Markets Move Beyond the Pitch  appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »

2026-6-9 22:19

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Prediction Markets Start Pricing Jon Ossoff as 2028 Contender for President

Prediction markets are warming to Jon Ossoff for 2028, lifting him to 9% on Kalshi and 7% on Polymarket as Gavin Newsom slips and the Georgia senator remains a heavy Senate reelection favorite. The post Prediction Markets Start Pricing Jon Ossoff as 2028 Contender for President appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »

2026-6-9 21:51

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Platner Holds Maine Senate Edge as Markets Brush Off Scandals; Polls Less Convinced

Prediction markets still favor Graham Platner in Maine’s Senate race despite scandals and mixed polling, with traders pricing him as the likely Democratic nominee and slight general election favorite over Susan Collins. дальше »

2026-6-9 20:18

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Pratt Falls to Third in LA Mayor Race as Prediction Markets Correct Course

Prediction markets over-estimated Spencer Pratt’s early LA mayoral surge before vote counts pushed him to third. Karen Bass remains favored for November, with Nithya Raman now the likely runoff challenger. дальше »

2026-6-9 19:47

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Rubio Closes on Vance in 2028 GOP Nomination Market After Trump Comments

Prediction markets show Marco Rubio closing sharply on JD Vance after fresh comments from Donald Trump in the 2028 Republican primary market. The post Rubio Closes on Vance in 2028 GOP Nomination Market After Trump Comments appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »

2026-6-6 18:50

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Polymarket allegedly paid influencers at least $350,000 for undisclosed promotions: report

Polymarket has paid at least $350,000 to social media influencers over a 14-month period, with many of those creators later promoting the prediction market platform on X without clearly disclosing a paid relationship, according to a POLITICO investigation based on… дальше »

2026-6-5 18:20

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Murphy Upsets Prediction Markets in New Jersey GOP Senate Primary

Justin Murphy stunned prediction markets in New Jersey’s GOP Senate primary, defeating an 80% favorite as traders poured more than $600K into a race with little impact on November. The post Murphy Upsets Prediction Markets in New Jersey GOP Senate Primary appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »

2026-6-5 17:27

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Prediction Markets See Bass-Pratt Runoff Taking Shape For Los Angeles Mayor

Prediction markets favor a Karen Bass–Spencer Pratt runoff in the Los Angeles Mayor race. Despite Pratt's surge, traders still give Bass a commanding 75% chance to win November. The post Prediction Markets See Bass-Pratt Runoff Taking Shape For Los Angeles Mayor appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »

2026-6-3 20:48

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Prediction Markets Still Favor Becerra as California Primary Count Drags On

As California governor primary votes continue to be counted, Xavier Becerra remains the frontrunner at prediction markets with odds at 77-81% to be the next Golden State governor. The post Prediction Markets Still Favor Becerra as California Primary Count Drags On appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »

2026-6-3 20:08

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Congress Members Call on Inspector General to Review CFTC Regulatory Practices

Letter mentions CFTC’s “posture concerning prediction markets” in request for investigation into the agency’s compliance and resource allocation. The post Congress Members Call on Inspector General to Review CFTC Regulatory Practices appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »

2026-6-3 13:37

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Polymarket Trader Loses $500K After Rules Change on Microstrategy BTC Market

A $175 million Polymarket market on MicroStrategy's Bitcoin holdings resolved against traders after the platform posted a late rules clarification, reigniting questions about whether its UMA oracle system is fit for purpose. дальше »

2026-6-3 03:59

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Platner Scandal Barely Moves Maine Senate Prediction Market Odds

Prediction markets tighten but still favor Democrats in Maine, with Platner holding 60-65% odds despite a recent texting scandal. The post Platner Scandal Barely Moves Maine Senate Prediction Market Odds appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »

2026-6-2 00:55

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Montana Senate Race Tests Whether Prediction Markets Are Underpricing Seth Bodnar

Prediction markets give Republicans a 74% chance to win Montana's open Senate seat, but polls suggest independent Seth Bodnar may be more competitive than traders expect heading into the primary. дальше »

2026-6-2 18:11

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NJ GOP Senate Primary Attracts Trading Volume Despite Strong Democratic Hold Odds

Polymarket traders have wagered nearly $440K on New Jersey's GOP Senate primary, while prediction markets continue to price Democrats as overwhelming favorites to hold Sen. Cory Booker's seat in November. дальше »

2026-5-30 00:46

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Prediction markets draw Wintermute as crypto firms chase liquidity 

Wintermute has entered prediction markets as a liquidity provider, bringing professional market-making capacity to a sector that has grown into a major venue for trading real-world event risk. Wintermute said the firm will quote both buy and sell prices across… дальше »

2026-5-30 22:24

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Iowa Split: Prediction Markets Back Rob Sand but Favor GOP Senate Hold Ahead of Primary

Prediction markets give Democrat Rob Sand a 64%-66% chance to win Iowa's governor race, while Republicans remain favored to hold the open Senate seat. Here's why traders are pricing the two statewide races so differently. дальше »

2026-5-30 17:54

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CA Governor Primary Markets Signal Becerra vs Hilton Matchup as Polls Catch Up

The California governor race is turning into what prediction markets have signaled for weeks. The markets have been calling a top two showdown between Democrat Xavier Becerra and Republican Steve Hilton for more than a month. дальше »

2026-5-29 01:01

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Polymarket says no mandatory KYC planned for main prediction market

Polymarket has clarified that it is not introducing mandatory Know Your Customer checks across its main prediction market platform despite renewed scrutiny over compliance and restricted-jurisdiction access. дальше »

2026-5-28 13:50

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CFTC Sues Google Employee Over Alleged Insider Trading on Polymarket

The alleged trader used knowledge of Google’s most-searched individuals for 2025 that they had privileged access to and profited $1.2M, according to the CFTC’s complaint. The post CFTC Sues Google Employee Over Alleged Insider Trading on Polymarket appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »

2026-5-28 12:27

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Polymarket moves toward trader KYC as sanctions and legal risks intensify

Polymarket is pushing more traders toward identity checks as regulatory pressure grows over sanctions exposure, geoblocking failures and jurisdictional misuse. Polymarket is moving closer to requiring more traders to verify their identities as the prediction market faces mounting pressure over… дальше »

2026-5-27 16:24

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Prediction Markets Cross $5.6B Week, Kalshi Takes 71% of Volume

Kalshi remained on pace for another monthly volume record during the week of May 18, while Polymarket’s decline widened the gap between the two largest prediction market platforms. Kalshi posted $3. дальше »

2026-5-26 01:13

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Congress Seeks Kalshi, Polymarket Records Amid ‘Wild West’ Insider Trading Concerns

The House Oversight Committee is seeking internal records that could help identify traders behind suspicious activity, while Chairman James Comer called the regulatory environment for prediction markets the “Wild West” on CNBC. дальше »

2026-5-23 19:57

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Polymarket US Self-Certifies Parlay-Style Sports Contracts With CFTC

The 'Combinatoric Athletic Outcome Contract' filing could bring multi-leg sports markets to Polymarket’s regulated U.S. exchange as prediction market operators race to add parlay-style products The post Polymarket US Self-Certifies Parlay-Style Sports Contracts With CFTC appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »

2026-5-22 23:54

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Kalshi, Polymarket Rank No. 43 and 48 on CNBC Disruptor 50 List: Should They Be Higher?

The rankings recognize prediction markets as a category for the first time, and place two $15B+ companies in the bottom fifth of the list. We explore whether they should rank higher. The post Kalshi, Polymarket Rank No. дальше »

2026-5-21 20:52

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HyperLiquid changed the rules. Product quality matters again

Hyperliquid highlights shift in crypto design as user experience overtakes token-first product narratives. For most of the last decade, a useful generalization about crypto products was that the token mattered more than the product. The user experience could be inelegant,… дальше »

2026-5-21 17:59

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Inside the First Polymarket Private Valuation Markets for OpenAI, SpaceX and Anthropic

The contracts use Nasdaq Private Market data and give traders a public way to speculate on the valuations of major private companies The post Inside the First Polymarket Private Valuation Markets for OpenAI, SpaceX and Anthropic appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »

2026-5-19 22:29

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GOP Turns Prime Georgia Senate Pickup Into a Primary Mess as Ossoff Holds Strong

A three-way Republican battle in the Georgia Senate primary has prediction markets breaking heavily for Democratic sitting Sen. Jon Ossoff. The post GOP Turns Prime Georgia Senate Pickup Into a Primary Mess as Ossoff Holds Strong appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »

2026-5-19 19:16

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Kalshi Volume Levels Off at $3.86B as Transactions Drop 46% and Polymarket Bounces Back

Kalshi notional volume dipped 6. 6% week-over-week to $3. 86B for the week beginning May 11, a much softer decline than the transaction count suggests. Trades fell 46. 4% to 13. 0M, pointing to larger average trade sizes rather than a broad pullback in activity. дальше »

2026-5-19 17:31

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Louisiana Senate Markets Turn on Cassidy as Trump-Backed Letlow Gains Ground

Trump-backed Julia Letlow is the clear favorite over incumbent Sen. Bill Cassidy on prediction markets in the Louisiana GOP Senate race. The post Louisiana Senate Markets Turn on Cassidy as Trump-Backed Letlow Gains Ground appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »

2026-5-16 23:27

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Polymarket’s CFTC talks are really about who gets to price reality in public

Polymarket’s push to lift its CFTC ban is not just a venue story; it’s a fight over whether “reality markets” on war, pandemics and macro become a regulated US asset class or stay an offshore grey zone. Polymarket is in… дальше »

2026-5-15 18:00

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2026 PGA Championship Odds: Outrights, Round Leaders, and Combos at Kalshi and Polymarket

Kalshi had nearly $130 million in live 2026 PGA Championship-related volume by Day 1, with the outright winner market alone above $110 million. Scottie Scheffler remains the favorite across all prediction markets. дальше »

2026-5-15 16:33

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House Democrats Seek Prediction Market Records Amid Suspicious Iran War, Oil Trades

Lawmakers want internal prediction market platform records subpoenaed to identify traders behind suspicious Iran-linked trades, including oil futures, as insider trading crackdown ramps up. The post House Democrats Seek Prediction Market Records Amid Suspicious Iran War, Oil Trades appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »

2026-5-14 19:11

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Trump arrives in Beijing: crypto reaction and Polymarket odds shift?

U.S. President Donald Trump arrived in Beijing on May 13 for a formal state visit at the invitation of Chinese President Xi Jinping. The visit marks a renewed high-level diplomatic engagement between the world’s two largest economies amid ongoing strategic… дальше »

2026-5-14 17:13

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Markets Not Buying Dan Osborn Nebraska Upset Story Despite Tight Polls

Dan Osborn polls tied with Pete Ricketts in Nebraska Senate race, but prediction markets are not buying his story. The post Markets Not Buying Dan Osborn Nebraska Upset Story Despite Tight Polls appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »

2026-5-12 19:22

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