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Hong Heads Into Wisconsin Governor Primary as Near Prediction Markets Lock, but Her November Problem Is Already Showing
Francesca Hong is trading at 95% to win Wisconsin’s Democratic gubernatorial primary on Kalshi and 96% on Polymarket, putting her at the front of another progressive-wave test Tuesday. But markets have already flipped to Republicans in November, with the GOP at 62% on Kalshi, underscoring the harder question: whether a progressive primary win can hold up in one of the country’s most volatile purple states. дальше »
2026-8-11 15:21 | |
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Individual Prediction Markets Contracts Show Democrats With Path To Senate Control
Republicans remain slight favorites to hold the Senate in the headline market, but the state-by-state picture is moving in Democrats’ direction. Kalshi gives the GOP a 54% chance to keep control, down from roughly 60% in early July, while markets now put Democrats ahead in Michigan, Alaska, Ohio and tied in Texas. дальше »
2026-8-11 21:22 | |
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Trump’s Vance Talk Sends 2028 GOP Markets Further Toward a Two-Man Race With Rubio
Reports that President Donald Trump privately told donors “we need to elect JD” have added fresh momentum to an already Vance-heavy 2028 market. Vance leads Marco Rubio 42% to 23% on Kalshi’s $56. дальше »
2026-8-8 19:12 | |
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Prediction Markets Treat Blackburn As Lock In Tennessee GOP Governor Primary, New Poll Suggests Three-Way Race
Sen. Marsha Blackburn goes into Thursday’s Tennessee Republican governor primary as the kind of favorite prediction markets love, even as new polling says the race is tighter than the odds suggest. дальше »
2026-8-7 15:01 | |
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Prediction Markets Still Favor Graham Nordone In Crowded South Carolina GOP Senate Primary After Debates
Sen. Darline Graham Nordone remains the favorite in a 10-way special primary to replace her late brother, Sen. Lindsey Graham. She’s trading at 63% on Kalshi with about $4 million in volume. The post Prediction Markets Still Favor Graham Nordone In Crowded South Carolina GOP Senate Primary After Debates appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-8-7 20:59 | |
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Clarity Act talks enter final stretch as GOP seeks Democratic votes
Senate Republicans are seeking Democratic support for the Clarity Act as lawmakers consider starting a floor process before the August recess. Clarity Act faces a 60-vote Senate test Crypto industry groups hope Thune will begin the floor process by filing… дальше »
2026-7-28 22:24 | |
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Prediction Markets Heavily Favor James, Benson in Michigan Governor Primaries
Prediction markets have James at over 80% to win the GOP nod for Michigan governor, while they're trading at over 90% for Benson on the Democratic side. The post Prediction Markets Heavily Favor James, Benson in Michigan Governor Primaries appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-7-26 22:41 | |
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Prediction Markets Still Favor Letlow In Heated Louisiana Senate Runoff
Louisiana’s GOP Senate runoff is tightening on the ground, with John Fleming gaining ground on prediction markets favorite Julia Letlow. The post Prediction Markets Still Favor Letlow In Heated Louisiana Senate Runoff appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-27 22:14 | |
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Prediction Markets Nail Wilson’s South Carolina Governor Runoff Blowout
Prediction markets correctly called Alan Wilson’s South Carolina GOP governor runoff blowout, as he turned an initial primary deficit into a decisive win after Pamela Evette led round one. The post Prediction Markets Nail Wilson’s South Carolina Governor Runoff Blowout appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-26 17:07 | |
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Georgia Governor Prediction Markets Heavily Favor Jones as GOP Runoff Nears
While polls are split on Georgia Republican governor runoff, prediction markets appear certain on the winner. The post Georgia Governor Prediction Markets Heavily Favor Jones as GOP Runoff Nears appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-16 19:29 | |
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Trump Endorsement Faces Iowa-Style Test in South Carolina GOP Governor Primary
President Donald Trump’s endorsement is still a big deal in South Carolina, and while prediction markets back his candidate, the SC governor Republican primary is looking more like Iowa than the White House would like. дальше »
2026-6-9 03:04 | |
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Rubio Closes on Vance in 2028 GOP Nomination Market After Trump Comments
Prediction markets show Marco Rubio closing sharply on JD Vance after fresh comments from Donald Trump in the 2028 Republican primary market. The post Rubio Closes on Vance in 2028 GOP Nomination Market After Trump Comments appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-6 18:50 | |
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Murphy Upsets Prediction Markets in New Jersey GOP Senate Primary
Justin Murphy stunned prediction markets in New Jersey’s GOP Senate primary, defeating an 80% favorite as traders poured more than $600K into a race with little impact on November. The post Murphy Upsets Prediction Markets in New Jersey GOP Senate Primary appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-5 17:27 | |
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Iowa Governor Primary Hands Trump and Prediction Markets a Rare Miss
Trump-backed Randy Feenstra entered Iowa’s GOP governor primary with 80% prediction market odds, but 19% underdog Zach Lahn pulled off the upset. What it means for Iowa and 2026 midterms. The post Iowa Governor Primary Hands Trump and Prediction Markets a Rare Miss appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-4 22:47 | |
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NJ GOP Senate Primary Attracts Trading Volume Despite Strong Democratic Hold Odds
Polymarket traders have wagered nearly $440K on New Jersey's GOP Senate primary, while prediction markets continue to price Democrats as overwhelming favorites to hold Sen. Cory Booker's seat in November. дальше »
2026-5-30 00:46 | |
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Iowa Split: Prediction Markets Back Rob Sand but Favor GOP Senate Hold Ahead of Primary
Prediction markets give Democrat Rob Sand a 64%-66% chance to win Iowa's governor race, while Republicans remain favored to hold the open Senate seat. Here's why traders are pricing the two statewide races so differently. дальше »
2026-5-30 17:54 | |
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Texas Senate Runoff: Prediction Markets Saw the Trump Wave Before the Vote Did
Prediction markets nailed another MAGA ouster in the Texas Senate GOP runoff, but it could set up a tough November slate for Republicans. The post Texas Senate Runoff: Prediction Markets Saw the Trump Wave Before the Vote Did appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-5-27 17:45 | |
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Trump’s Paxton Endorsement Has Prediction Markets Treating Texas Senate Runoff as a Done Deal
Ken Paxton odds surged to 94% in the Texas Senate GOP primary following President Donald Trump's endorsement. The post Trump’s Paxton Endorsement Has Prediction Markets Treating Texas Senate Runoff as a Done Deal appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-5-20 03:43 | |
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GOP Turns Prime Georgia Senate Pickup Into a Primary Mess as Ossoff Holds Strong
A three-way Republican battle in the Georgia Senate primary has prediction markets breaking heavily for Democratic sitting Sen. Jon Ossoff. The post GOP Turns Prime Georgia Senate Pickup Into a Primary Mess as Ossoff Holds Strong appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-5-19 19:16 | |
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Louisiana Senate Markets Turn on Cassidy as Trump-Backed Letlow Gains Ground
Trump-backed Julia Letlow is the clear favorite over incumbent Sen. Bill Cassidy on prediction markets in the Louisiana GOP Senate race. The post Louisiana Senate Markets Turn on Cassidy as Trump-Backed Letlow Gains Ground appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-5-16 23:27 | |
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Ohio Governor Markets Leaning Blue Despite Ramaswamy Win in GOP Primary
Vivek Ramaswamy won the Republican Primary for the Ohio governor race, but prediction markets still favor Democrat Amy Acton. The post Ohio Governor Markets Leaning Blue Despite Ramaswamy Win in GOP Primary appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-5-7 22:24 | |
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Georgia Governor Primary Odds Favor Bottoms, Jackson as Polls Lag
Prediction markets favor Keisha Lance Bottoms and Rick Jackson in Georgia’s governor primaries, even as polls show more uncertainty on the GOP side. The post Georgia Governor Primary Odds Favor Bottoms, Jackson as Polls Lag appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-5-6 19:01 | |
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GOP Senator Britt Urges a Way Forward to Confirm Warsh Before the May 15 Deadline
The most significant Fed nomination news from Tuesday’s hearing came not from the nominee but from Republican Senator Katie Britt of Alabama, who signaled the first concrete Republican effort to find an offramp around the Tillis blockade, urging all parties… дальше »
2026-4-22 22:15 | |
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20 House Republicans Force Johnson Into 2 AM Stopgap With FISA Rebellion
A House GOP revolt 2026 collapsed both a five-year and an 18-month FISA extension in back-to-back overnight votes, with 20 Republicans joining most Democrats to kill each plan and force Speaker Mike Johnson into a last-resort 10-day stopgap passed at… дальше »
2026-4-17 20:40 | |
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Vance Leads GOP 2028 Odds as Markets Price Trump Risk
The Republican side of the 2028 presidential race on prediction markets looks much more structured than the Democratic one, because there is already a traditional heir apparent in Vice President JD Vance. дальше »
2026-4-17 19:55 | |
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NJ Special Election Puts GOP House Majority Under More Pressure
Voters in New Jersey’s 11th congressional district are heading to the polls today in a special election that could tighten the Republican House majority to its absolute limit, pitting progressive Democrat Analilia Mejia against Republican Joe Hathaway in a district… дальше »
2026-4-17 00:35 | |
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Georgia House Runoff Markets Signal GOP Lock, Focus Shifts to Margin
Georgia voters head to the polls in the GA-14 runoff to elect Marjorie Taylor Greene's replacement. Prediction markets price a GOP lock, with the real question now shifting to margin. The post Georgia House Runoff Markets Signal GOP Lock, Focus Shifts to Margin appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-4-7 17:08 | |
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Louisiana Senate Race Gets Messy But Traders Signal Safe GOP Hold
Louisiana’s 2026 Republican Senate primary is one of the most politically charged races in the country, yet prediction markets are treating it like background noise so far. Incumbent Sen. Bill Cassidy faces a crowded field, including Rep. дальше »
2026-4-4 01:25 | |
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Georgia Could Swing the Senate, but Early Consensus Leans Blue
The Georgia Senate seat could be one of the Democrat's most vulnerable in November, but the GOP primary is fairly quiet so far on prediction markets. The post Georgia Could Swing the Senate, but Early Consensus Leans Blue appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-3-31 22:11 | |
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Texas Senate GOP Race Tightens as Trump Skips Key Endorsement Deadline
Texas Republican Senate runoff odds hold steady across prediction markets — Cornyn leads at 60–62%, Paxton trails at 39–40% — as traders weigh Trump's endorsement fallout and escalating attack ads. дальше »
2026-3-19 18:54 | |
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Betting markets turn on Noem as GOP senators break ranks
Republicans including Sens. Thom Tillis and Lisa Murkowski broke ranks with Trump and called for Kristi Noem to step down. дальше »
2026-1-29 18:47 | |
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Crypto’s Capitol Hill squeeze: Senate GOP pushes market bill as snow—and partisanship—cloud path
Washington’s long-promised crypto market structure deal is headed for a partisan test, with Senate Republicans poised to advance their bill next week after talks with Democrats broke down—assuming lawmakers can even make it back to town through a looming snowstorm. дальше »
2026-1-24 18:29 | |
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Senate GOP Drops New Crypto Bill Draft As Odds of Passing Stagnate
The updated CLARITY Act draft from Senate republicans reshapes SEC and CFTC oversight as prediction markets now peg its chances at just under 60%. The post Senate GOP Drops New Crypto Bill Draft As Odds of Passing Stagnate appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-1-23 21:31 | |
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Senate Democrats meet privately to review GOP compromise proposal for crypto market structure bill
The private discussions signal a potential bipartisan effort to shape crypto regulations, impacting future market stability and investor confidence. The post Senate Democrats meet privately to review GOP compromise proposal for crypto market structure bill appeared first on Crypto Briefing. дальше »
2025-12-10 04:12 | |
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‘New York will be fine’: Crypto community reacts to Mamdani’s victory
On Nov. 4, Democratic Party candidate Zohran Mamdani won the NYC mayoral election, beating ex-New York state governor Andrew Cuomo and GOP favorite Curtis Sliwa. дальше »
2025-11-6 23:02 | |
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Young Crypto Voters Could Decide The 2026 Midterms In The US, New Poll Shows
A new poll shows crypto investors could shape the 2026 midterms, with younger voters and major firms aligning behind pro-crypto GOP candidates. The post Young Crypto Voters Could Decide The 2026 Midterms In The US, New Poll Shows appeared first on BeInCrypto. дальше »
2025-10-10 22:00 | |
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House eyes Wednesday re-vote on crypto bills after procedural defeat
The U.S. House of Representatives is preparing to retry a key procedural vote on Wednesday, July 16, that would allow floor debate on a trio of major cryptocurrency bills, after GOP hardliners derailed the effort on Tuesday. As reported by… дальше »
2025-7-16 10:21 | |
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GENIUS Act, other crypto bills blocked in U.S. House: 'The Senate did not...'
Key Takeaways House Republicans blocked a procedural vote to consider two crypto bills on the House floor, dealing a setback to pro-crypto President Trump and the GOP's efforts. It's crypto The post GENIUS Act, other crypto bills blocked in U. дальше »
2025-7-16 08:45 | |
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House GOP Fails to Advance Crypto Week Bills, GENIUS Act in Jeopardy
House Republicans failed to pass a key procedural vote on Tuesday, halting progress on the highly anticipated “Crypto Week” agenda. The 196–222 vote blocks consideration of the GENIUS Act, the Clarity Act, and the annual defense appropriations bill. дальше »
2025-7-16 22:21 | |
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SEC allegedly sabotaged Democrats’ request on the eve of the Clarity Act hearings, while providing analysis to GOP
Hearings on the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act took place on June 4, 2025. The bill is a bipartisan legislation clarifying the market structure for digital assets. Before the hearings, Democrats accused the Securities and Exchange Commission of withholding crucial… дальше »
2025-6-6 14:41 | |
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Democrats demand treasury reports on Trump crypto, Musk PAC
Top House Democrats are pressing the Treasury Department to release all suspicious activity reports related to Donald Trump’s crypto ventures, Elon Musk’s America PAC, the GOP fundraising platform WinRed, and several alleged scam PACs. The May 14 letter, signed by… дальше »
2025-5-15 22:36 | |
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Missouri tax bill exempts crypto and stock gains from income tax
Missouri lawmakers have passed a sweeping tax bill that exempts capital gains from state income tax and sent it to Gov. Mike Kehoe for signature. The measure, a top priority for House Republicans, passed the House Wednesday with only GOP… дальше »
2025-5-8 18:22 | |
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Crypto PACs propel GOP wins in Florida – A new era for crypto legislation?
Crypto-backed PACs helped secure GOP victories in Florida’s special congressional elections Bitcoin climbed to $86,726, before retracing, and faces more declines amid U.S recession concerns The post Crypto PACs propel GOP wins in Florida – A new era for crypto legislation? appeared first on AMBCrypto. дальше »
2025-4-3 09:00 | |
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New GOP bill targets crypto ‘debanking’ by limiting regulator oversight
Senator Tim Scott of South Carolina, the leading Republican on the Senate Banking Committee, has introduced the Financial Integrity and Regulation Management Act. This legislation aims to prohibit financial regulators from considering reputational risks when supervising banks, a practice critics… дальше »
2025-3-7 21:53 | |
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