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Warsh Hawkish Shock: 9 Fed Officials Signal 2026 Rate Hike
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh held rates steady in his debut FOMC meeting but delivered a sharply hawkish surprise, with nine of 18 participants projecting a 2026 rate hike and the statement stripping out its easing bias. дальше »
2026-6-17 21:02 | |
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Kalshi, Polymarket Capture Nearly Three-Quarters Of Betting App Downloads During World Cup Surge
Apptopia data shows prediction market platforms leading new installs, drawing first-time users and hitting active-user highs during World Cup trading push The post Kalshi, Polymarket Capture Nearly Three-Quarters Of Betting App Downloads During World Cup Surge appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-17 19:53 | |
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Prediction Markets Miss On Another Trump Pick in Oklahoma
Prediction markets strongly backed Mike Mazzei for Oklahoma governor heading into Tuesday, where he placed second to force a runoff. The post Prediction Markets Miss On Another Trump Pick in Oklahoma appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-17 18:52 | |
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Georgia Runoffs Offer Split Result For Prediction Markets
Prediction markets followed President Trump's endorsements heading into runoff elections, ending up with split results. The post Georgia Runoffs Offer Split Result For Prediction Markets appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-17 18:01 | |
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Report: Gaming Industry Urges Congress to Add Sports Event Contracts Ban to Crypto Regulation Bill
Semafor reports that a coalition including commercial and tribal gaming interests has sent a letter to Congress urging members to include sports trading restrictions The post Report: Gaming Industry Urges Congress to Add Sports Event Contracts Ban to Crypto Regulation Bill appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-17 11:23 | |
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Fed Prediction Markets Shift to Warsh’s Words as June Rate Decision Looks Settled
Kalshi and Polymarket traders overwhelmingly expect the Fed to hold rates steady Wednesday, leaving new Fed chair Kevin Warsh’s first press conference and related rate, recession and inflation markets as the more revealing bets The post Fed Prediction Markets Shift to Warsh’s Words as June Rate Decision Looks Settled appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-17 02:58 | |
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Novig Receives CFTC Approval as ProphetX Launches Sports Prediction Markets Days After Designation
Novig targets a summer rollout after earning CFTC designation, while ProphetX went live five days after approval in the fastest approval-to-launch timeline of the regulated prediction market era The post Novig Receives CFTC Approval as ProphetX Launches Sports Prediction Markets Days After Designation appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-17 20:32 | |
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Prediction Markets Reverse Course in South Carolina Governor Runoff
Prediction markets take a sharp turn in the South Carolina Republican governor runoff race ahead of the June 23 election. The post Prediction Markets Reverse Course in South Carolina Governor Runoff appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-17 17:41 | |
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Collins Takes the Georgia Senate Prediction Markets Lead Before the Runoff
On the morning of the Georgia Senate Republican runoff, prediction markets had already settled the race. The post Collins Takes the Georgia Senate Prediction Markets Lead Before the Runoff appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-16 16:34 | |
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Mazzei Odds Near 90% Ahead of Oklahoma Governor Primary
A crowded Republican field for Oklahoma governor has not deterred prediction markets from pricing Mike Mazzei as a runaway favorite. The post Mazzei Odds Near 90% Ahead of Oklahoma Governor Primary appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-16 23:10 | |
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Prediction Markets Set To Test Trump Power Again In Alabama Senate Race
Prediction markets are giving Barry Moore a major edge around 80-84% over Jared Hudson in the Alabama Republican Senate runoff. The post Prediction Markets Set To Test Trump Power Again In Alabama Senate Race appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-16 19:32 | |
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Georgia Governor Prediction Markets Heavily Favor Jones as GOP Runoff Nears
While polls are split on Georgia Republican governor runoff, prediction markets appear certain on the winner. The post Georgia Governor Prediction Markets Heavily Favor Jones as GOP Runoff Nears appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-16 19:29 | |
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Nevada Gaming Regulators Escalate Kalshi Litigation With Contempt Request
The Nevada Gaming Control Board has asked a state court to hold Kalshi in contempt of a May order that demanded that Kalshi stop allowing prediction market trades in the state The post Nevada Gaming Regulators Escalate Kalshi Litigation With Contempt Request appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-16 13:30 | |
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Prediction Markets Call Platner Primary Win, But Maine Senate Is No Lock
Graham Platner cleared the Democratic Maine Senate primary despite tough stretch, but prediction markets are tightening ahead of November. The post Prediction Markets Call Platner Primary Win, But Maine Senate Is No Lock appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-14 01:46 | |
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Kalshi Promo Code RATE: $10 Bonus for USA vs. Paraguay Tonight
New users can claim a $10 bonus with the Kalshi promo code RATE ahead of the United States’ World Cup opener against Paraguay. Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction market and event-contract exchange where you trade contracts on real-world outcomes — including which side comes out on top tonight at SoFi Stadium. дальше »
2026-6-14 01:40 | |
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CFTC Sues New Mexico Over Kalshi, Expanding Prediction Market Fight With States
New Mexico becomes the eighth state targeted by the CFTC as the agency pushes back against efforts to treat sports event contracts as gambling. The post CFTC Sues New Mexico Over Kalshi, Expanding Prediction Market Fight With States appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-14 00:47 | |
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Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina Odds: Prediction Markets Back CanMNT at 54% in Opener
Prediction markets back Canada at 54% to beat Bosnia and Herzegovina in their World Cup opener at BMO Field, even without injured captain Alphonso Davies. The post Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina Odds: Prediction Markets Back CanMNT at 54% in Opener appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-12 18:30 | |
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Prediction Markets Saw Becerra’s California Governor Win Coming
Xavier Becerra and Steve Hilton are set for a November showdown for California governor, but prediction markets already have a winner. The post Prediction Markets Saw Becerra’s California Governor Win Coming appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-12 00:30 | |
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Bass Holds 64% to Win LA Mayor Runoff Fight in Prediction Markets
Incumbent LA Mayor Karen Bass remains the favorite on prediction markets at 64% as her runoff opponent officially is Nithya Raman. The post Bass Holds 64% to Win LA Mayor Runoff Fight in Prediction Markets appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-12 00:19 | |
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ProphetX Wins CFTC Approval For Sports Focused Prediction Exchange
After a roughly 6-month approval process, ProphetX is moving from a sweepstakes model to a federally regulated sports prediction exchange as peer-to-peer rivals remain in the CFTC queue. The post ProphetX Wins CFTC Approval For Sports Focused Prediction Exchange appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-12 20:45 | |
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Japan advances crypto bill with 20% tax rate and ETF pathway
Japan has advanced legislation that would cut crypto taxes to 20%, introduce ETF pathways, and place digital assets under the same regulatory framework as stocks. According to Bloomberg, Japan’s lower house approved a bill on Thursday that would classify cryptocurrencies… дальше »
2026-6-11 11:06 | |
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The ECB’s Rate Hike Could Force the Fed’s Hand
The European Central Bank is expected to raise its benchmark rate to 2. 25% on Thursday, June 11, the first increase since 2023, as Middle East-driven energy costs push eurozone inflation above its 2% target. дальше »
2026-6-11 10:53 | |
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Evette Heads to SC Governor Runoff Still Backed by 76% at Prediction Markets
Trump-endorsed South Carolina Lt. Gov. Pamela Evette is heading to a runoff for SC governor and still heavily favored by prediction markets. The post Evette Heads to SC Governor Runoff Still Backed by 76% at Prediction Markets appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-11 19:54 | |
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Kalshi Adds Employment Checks, New Safeguards To Fight Prediction Market Insider Trading
Kalshi says its new safeguards will risk-score contracts, screen some traders before they trade and expand tools for reporting suspicious activity. The post Kalshi Adds Employment Checks, New Safeguards To Fight Prediction Market Insider Trading appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-11 16:45 | |
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Wisconsin Asks Court to Temporarily Block Trading of Sports Event Contracts on Coinbase, Kalshi, and Robinhood
Wisconsin’s anticipated motion for injunctive relief calls trading of prediction markets connected to sporting events “open, repeated, ongoing criminal violations” of the state’s laws. The post Wisconsin Asks Court to Temporarily Block Trading of Sports Event Contracts on Coinbase, Kalshi, and Robinhood appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-10 10:26 | |
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The 0.01% Funding Rate: How Bitcoin Perpetuals Are Engineered for Rent Extraction
Bitcoin perpetual futures funding rate gravitates to 0.01%—an exchange-embedded benchmark that extracts carry costs from longs while arbitrageurs maintain. дальше »
2026-6-9 23:00 | |
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From Ronaldo Tears to Trump Photo Ops, World Cup Prediction Markets Move Beyond the Pitch
World Cup markets on Kalshi and Polymarket show the platforms testing how much of the tournament’s surrounding culture can become tradable. The post From Ronaldo Tears to Trump Photo Ops, World Cup Prediction Markets Move Beyond the Pitch appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-9 22:19 | |
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Prediction Markets Start Pricing Jon Ossoff as 2028 Contender for President
Prediction markets are warming to Jon Ossoff for 2028, lifting him to 9% on Kalshi and 7% on Polymarket as Gavin Newsom slips and the Georgia senator remains a heavy Senate reelection favorite. The post Prediction Markets Start Pricing Jon Ossoff as 2028 Contender for President appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-9 21:51 | |
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Wall Street abandons rate-cut hopes ahead of Kevin Warsh’s first FOMC
Wall Street has largely abandoned expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts this year ahead of the first Federal Open Market Committee meeting led by Fed Chair Kevin Warsh on June 16-17. According to a Reuters survey conducted between June 4… дальше »
2026-6-10 21:32 | |
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Can the Bank of Japan’s 1% rate hike spark another crypto selloff?
Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies have come under renewed macro scrutiny after reports indicated that the Bank of Japan is preparing to raise its benchmark interest rate to 1.0% from 0.75% at its June 15–16 policy meeting. Japanese financial newspaper Nikkei… дальше »
2026-6-9 10:03 | |
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Kalshi Sets $17.9B Record May as World Cup Lifts Polymarket US to Weekly High
Kalshi closed May with $17. 91 billion in notional volume, its ninth consecutive monthly record and a 21% jump from April’s then-record $14. 81B, according to DeFi Rate’s prediction markets volume tracker. дальше »
2026-6-9 18:54 | |
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Kalshi Offers a $1 Million Contest to Predict 2026 World Cup Winner
Kalshi has launched a free-to-play contest with a $1,000,000 prize pool, shared among eligible entrants who correctly predict the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion The post Kalshi Offers a $1 Million Contest to Predict 2026 World Cup Winner appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-6 16:44 | |
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Kalshi $1 Million World Cup Contest: Predict 2026 World Cup Winner + Tickets to Finals
Kalshi has launched a free-to-play contest with a $1,000,000 prize pool, shared among eligible entrants who correctly predict the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion The post Kalshi $1 Million World Cup Contest: Predict 2026 World Cup Winner + Tickets to Finals appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-7 16:44 | |
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May 2026 US Jobs Report: Upward Revisions Reshape Crypto Fed Rate Cut Outlook
U.S. jobs report for May 2026 shows 172,000 added, 4.3% unemployment, and upward revisions that complicate Federal Reserve rate cut bets for crypto traders. дальше »
2026-6-6 08:00 | |
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Bitcoin price falls below $60K as hot U.S. jobs report crushes rate cut hopes
Bitcoin price has fallen below $60,000 after a stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs report prompted traders to scale back expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts and price in a higher probability of policy tightening later this year. According to data from crypto.news,… дальше »
2026-6-6 22:49 | |
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BNP Paribas warns inflation threat could trigger three Fed hikes
BNP Paribas has forecast three Federal Reserve rate hikes beginning in December, citing stronger-than-expected U. S. employment data and rising inflation pressures that the bank links in part to the ongoing U. дальше »
2026-6-6 21:13 | |
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Rubio Closes on Vance in 2028 GOP Nomination Market After Trump Comments
Prediction markets show Marco Rubio closing sharply on JD Vance after fresh comments from Donald Trump in the 2028 Republican primary market. The post Rubio Closes on Vance in 2028 GOP Nomination Market After Trump Comments appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-6 18:50 | |
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Robinhood Launches World Cup Prediction Markets Through Rothera
Robinhood is using the tournament to test its affiliated Rothera exchange, but some World Cup contracts will still route through Kalshi. The post Robinhood Launches World Cup Prediction Markets Through Rothera appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-5 17:16 | |
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New Mexico Attorney General Sues Kalshi in State Court Over Sporting Event Contract Trading
The lawsuit in the Santa Fe County District Court seeks an injunction blocking trades of event contracts connected to sports and a declaration that such trades qualify as sports wagering. The post New Mexico Attorney General Sues Kalshi in State Court Over Sporting Event Contract Trading appeared first on DeFi Rate. дальше »
2026-6-5 14:52 | |
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Chainalysis reveals $100 million peptide market built on crypto
The cryptocurrency-funded peptide market has surpassed a $100 million annual run rate after first-quarter sales jumped 159% quarter-over-quarter to $32 million, according to a new report from Chainalysis. дальше »
2026-6-5 02:53 | |
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Gray peptide vendors embrace stablecoins as safety fears deepen
Crypto has become a key payment rail for a fast-growing gray-market peptide trade, according to a new Chainalysis report. Chainalysis said Thursday that off-label peptide sales have climbed past a $100 million annual run rate, as online wellness trends and… дальше »
2026-6-5 20:50 | |
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