A “Difficult Time” Ahead for Risk Assets, While Fed Has President Biden’s Blessing to Do ‘Whatever Necessary’ to Support Strong Economy

2021-7-23 20:39

This week started on a red note, with Bitcoin’s price going under $30k for the first time in over a month. But before the mid of the week, we made progress and came really close to $33k.

Commenting on this volatility, Michael Sonnenshein, Grayscale Investments CEO said, investors allocating to crypto know that it is going to be a part of it.

“Most of the investors we're dealing with are not looking at short-term price movements or volatility. Their crypto allocations are really over the medium to longer-term time horizon. So I don't think people feel terribly fazed when they see sudden movements in the market,” he said in an interview with Bloomberg this week.

But with Bitcoin falling in line with stocks this week, is it a diversification play? “Certainly,” said Sonnenshein, noting that for a lot of investors, it is a “differentiated return stream.”

While the Bloomberg hosts are hearing that there's no money sitting on the sidelines wanting to get in, according to Sonnenshein, based on who's investing in the market, their size of allocations, and with the conviction, they are doing that, “the opportunity for bitcoin remains very very bright.”

“Even though there is no Bitcoin ETF today investors aren't waiting to add crypto to their portfolios. BTC is doing hundreds of millions of dollars a day in notional trading volume.”

Sonnenshein also commented on GBTC unlocks about which a lot of investors are concerned about and wondering about its effect on the fund growing so large.

“It's a little too early to tell,” he said. “But what we have seen is with BTC trading at a discount to net asset value a lot of investors, particularly institutional money, have been stepping into that trade realizing that that capital can actually help them own or control more bitcoin than it would be if they were buying bitcoin in the spot market,” which will ultimately lead it back towards NAV and “in the longest case scenario it will be an ETF that would arbitrage away any discount to the net asset value,” Sonnenshein added.

Taper Tantrums

Interestingly, the government continues to pump money into the market that works in Bitcoin’s favor. While the Federal Reserve Chair has assured that quantitative tightening isn’t happening as of now, US President Joe Biden also said this week that inflation is temporary.

“The Fed is independent. It should take whatever steps it deems necessary to support a strong, durable economic recovery.”

The President said his plans to invest more in infrastructure and better care for older people and children would enhance productivity and raise wages without raising prices. This, he said, will “take the pressure off of inflation (and) give a boost to our workforce.”

With the Fed meeting next week and Jackson Hole, there are expectations that the Fed will provide some clarity on tapering. In an interview with Bloomberg, Guggenheim Investments Chairman Scott Minerd said,

“It's been very interesting to watch how hawkish a number of the Fed FOMC members have become in such a short period of time… I think that by September the Fed will probably feel some obligation to lay out how tapering will work but may not be so anxious to actually announce a date when it would start. I think the earliest we would expect tapering to start would be March of next year.”

But any sign of acceleration would be interpreted as bad for the stock market and probably good for bonds, he added. Even before that, Minerd warned of rough months ahead.

“Usually the stock market has its weakest performance in the months of September and October,” with the old rule – sell in May go away, come again at Labor Day.

While warning about “a seasonally difficult time for risk assets,” Minerd talked about Bitcoin. Calling it a “risk-on asset,” he feels that the latest drop could have lower to go.

“I think that there is still more air to come out of this,” he said. This means, ultimately, something in the neighborhood of $15k will be the standard bull market for a bear market, according to him.

As such, he ain't buying the cryptocurrency anytime soon but would make that decision based upon price action in the future.

Bitcoin/USD BTCUSD 32,353.9321 $242.65 0.75% Volume 19.46 b Change $242.65 Open$32,353.9321 Circulating 18.76 m Market Cap 607.09 b baseUrl = "https://widgets.cryptocompare.com/"; var scripts = document.getElementsByTagName("script"); var embedder = scripts[scripts.length - 1]; var cccTheme = {"Chart": {"fillColor": "rgba(248,155,35,0.2)", "borderColor": "#F89B23"}}; (function () { var appName = encodeURIComponent(window.location.hostname); if (appName == "") { appName = "local"; } var s = document.createElement("script"); s.type = "text/javascript"; s.async = true; var theUrl = baseUrl + 'serve/v1/coin/chart?fsym=BTC&tsym=USD'; s.src = theUrl + (theUrl.indexOf("?") >= 0 ? "&" : "?") + "app=" + appName; embedder.parentNode.appendChild(s); })(); var single_widget_subscription = single_widget_subscription || []; single_widget_subscription.push("5~CCCAGG~BTC~USD"); The post A “Difficult Time” Ahead for Risk Assets, While Fed Has President Biden’s Blessing to Do ‘Whatever Necessary’ to Support Strong Economy first appeared on BitcoinExchangeGuide.

Similar to Notcoin - TapSwap on Solana Airdrops In 2024

origin »

Based Money ($BASED) íà Currencies.ru

$ 0.8899 (-0.45%)
Îáúåì 24H $0
Èçìåíåèÿ 24h: 0.68 %, 7d: 18.08 %
Cåãîäíÿ L: $0.8899 - H: $0.8899
Êàïèòàëèçàöèÿ $0 Rank 3775
Äîñòóïíî / Âñåãî 0 $BASED / 100k $BASED

very investing conviction allocations doing size tapering

very investing → Ðåçóëüòàòîâ: 124


Ôîòî:

It Would Be Foolish For The US Government To Ban Bitcoin, SEC’s Hester Peirce Says

“Crypto Mom” Hester Peirce has recently spoken out against the U.S government, as conversations centered around the possibility of the government implementing a ban heightens. Speaking on the ‘MarketWatch Investing in Cryptocurrency event series‘, “I think we were past that point very early on because you’d have to shut down the internet. I don’t see […]

2021-4-10 22:49


CoinField launches wallet for Sologenic (SOLO) tokenized XRP Ledger assets

CoinField, a regulated European-based crypto exchange, today has released the very first native wallet app to support SOLO and XRP Ledger tokenized assets for its Sologenic ecosystem. SOLO is the native token of Sologenic, a platform built on the XRP Ledger that facilitates investing and trading of on-demand tokenized assets, including stocks and ETFs.

2020-2-7 02:16


Ôîòî:

Bitcoin Price Analysis: Upward Drift Continues Following Established Macro Support

Since mid-February, the bitcoin market has continued to drift upward toward a band of strong, macro resistance (shown below as a red band). This slow, drift upward marks our fourth test of the resistance zone and, unlike the three prior tests, our rejection of the level has shown a weakness on the side of the bears:Figure 1: BTC-USD, Daily Candles, Fourth RejectionIf we compare the three prior rejections (labeled 1, 2 and 3), we see that the move into this resistance level was violent — and had equally violent rejections.

2019-3-29 02:21


Ôîòî:

Bitcoin Price Analysis: Slow Upward Drift Tests Market Supply

A slow, grinding upward drift has been the name of the game for bitcoin’s market over the last few weeks. The upward drift is bringing us slowly to a level that was previously rejected violently:Figure 1: BTC-USD, Daily Candles, Upward DriftOur third rejection of the red resistance level shown above brought the market into a test of macro support in the mid-$3,000s.

2019-3-23 01:23


Ôîòî:

Bitcoin Price Analysis: Slow Grind Could Lead to Short Squeeze

Last Friday, we discussed a macro resistance level bitcoin would likely test. The level was tested three times prior and immediately rejected. Now, for the fourth time, we find ourselves situated above the level as we wait to see if our support holds:Figure 1: BTC-USD, Daily Candles, Fourth Test of Macro ResistanceThe first three attempts to hold support above the black, broken resistance have been stifled with relatively high amounts of volume.

2019-3-19 01:17


Ôîòî:

Bitcoin Price Analysis: Could Three Times Be the Charm for This Resistance Level?

Bitcoin remains in its tightly coiled range as the market continues its sideways trend for the third week in a row. While macro support has been tested three times recently, we have yet to test the overhanging macro resistance:Figure 1: BTC-USD, Daily Candles, Narrow RangeThe blue zone outlined above shows a very strong zone of support that, over the last few weeks, has seen three strong tests and has led to a slowly upward-drifting market consolidation.

2019-3-16 01:56


Ôîòî:

Bitcoin Price Analysis: Low Time Frames Show Signs of Life Amid Weekly Tests

Bitcoin continues to coil tightly within its range-bound market as the bulls and bears fight it out to see which is most dominant. On the lower time frames (TF), bitcoin is managing to find support:Figure 1: BTC-USD, 2-Hour Candles, Low TF SupportThe zone outlined by the green line in Figure 1 represents local support that has kept the market afloat for the last week and a half.

2019-3-13 22:26


Ôîòî:

Bitcoin Price Analysis: New High Paves Potential Reversal Setup

After days and days of consolidation, bitcoin finally managed to break a new high for the first time in almost two weeks. This new high, so far, has been short lived, however, as it was almost immediately sold into by eager bears:Figure 1: BTC-USD, 4-Hour Candles, New HighOur current 4-hour candle is seeing a relatively easy retracement after days and days of an upward grind.

2019-3-9 02:08


Ôîòî:

Bitcoin Price Analysis: Bullish Rejection Wipes Out Bitcoin’s Weekend Gains

Over the weekend, a strong rally was stifled by an even stronger rejection as the bitcoin market was shoved into a band of overhanging resistance. This band of resistance has been mentioned several times in our analyses over the last few weeks as it has proven impossible to overcome for the time being:Figure 1: BTC-USD, Daily Candles, Failed BreakoutThis run to the low $4,000s coincided with a breakout of a rather large symmetrical triangle consolidation shown above.

2019-2-26 02:42


Ôîòî:

Bitcoin Price Analysis: Bullish Setups Could Break Current Market Structure

The cryptomarket remains coiled as we lead into the weekend with no new highs and no new lows being established for bitcoin. However, it is nicely consolidating on lower time frames and hints toward the possibility of another leg up:Figure 1: BTC-USD, Hourly Candles, Consolidating PennantThe pattern shown in Figure 1 outlines a potential continuation pattern called a “bullish pennant.

2019-2-23 02:23


Ôîòî:

Bitcoin Price Analysis: Consolidation Breaks Out Into Macro Resistance Test

Over the course of the last 10 days, bitcoin has managed to rally nearly 20% in value as it burst through two major resistance levels and is now beginning the test of a major macro level:Figure 1: BTC-USD, Daily Candles, Macro ResistanceWe can see a clear, descending supply-and-demand channel that governed the market for the last two months.

2019-2-20 01:38


Ôîòî:

Bitcoin Price Analysis: After Sudden Upswing, Bitcoin Price Drifts Downward

Last week, we saw a violent move to the upside as bitcoin rallied 11% over the course of one day. Since peaking in the upper $3,600s, bitcoin has seen close to zero bullish follow-through, and the price has begun to drift downward over the course of the last week:Figure 1: BTC-USD, Hourly Candles, Downward DriftDownward-drifting markets like this can often be a sign that distribution is taking place.

2019-2-15 00:21


Ôîòî:

Bitcoin Price Analysis: Major Support Broken on Expanding Volume and Spread

After weeks of consolidation, bitcoin finally broke through support. The market now finds itself cruising toward prior lows. On expanding volume and spread, the bitcoin market appears ripe for a continuation of the downtrend:Figure 1: BTC-USD, Daily Candles, Broken SupportAlthough the current daily candle has yet to close, unless there is a strong influx of demand hitting the market, it stands to reason that bitcoin will be closing a new daily low for the first time since mid-December.

2019-1-29 02:01