February was undoubtedly an amazing month for Bitcoin, with the cryptocurrency going on a 39% surge to cross over $60,000. Notably, price history has shown this is the second most profitable February in the history of Bitcoin and the most profitable February in 11 years. 

Indeed, many market players have anticipated this price surge to continue throughout 2024 as the next Bitcoin halving approaches. According to an analysis from trading expert Peter Brandt, the price of BTC is set to skyrocket to $400,000 after the next halving.

Bitcoin halvings, which slashes the mining reward for miners into two, are known to trigger massive bull runs before and after they are completed. Indeed, the pre-halving bull run seems to have repeated itself, as Bitcoin has jumped over multiple resistance levels since the beginning of January and is now nearing its all-time high of $69,000, which it reached in November 2021.

Brandt’s analysis is majorly based on gains after past halvings as a percentage of gains before halvings. Consequently, the analyst projected past price behavior into the future after April’s halving is completed. 

Per his analysis, BTC’S current cycle reached its low in November 2022 and is now at 75 bars (weekly bars). If the bull trend extends 75 bars after the next halving, a price high of $150,000 is estimated to occur in early October 2025. 

Brandt’s analysis also pointed out three different scenarios that occurred after the last three halvings. After the first halving in 2012, Bitcoin went on a 5x gain as a percentage of its pre-halving gains. If the same were to happen after 2024’s halving, Bitcoin could reach $275,000. 

Similarly, 2016’s halving saw Bitcoin going on an 8x gain of its pre-halving gains. If Bitcoin were to go on a similar 8x route, it could reach as high as $400,000 before the next market phase. Lastly, 2020’s halving produced a modest 2x return of its pre-halving gains. A 2x repeat applied to a BTC price of $50,000 would see the crypto reaching $100,000 at the end of the current market phase. 

At the time of writing, Bitcoin is trading at $62,600, up by 21.25% in the past seven days. From a technical perspective, Bitcoin looks prime to continue on its bull run in the current market cycle with virtually no resistance

On-chain fundamentals point to increased accumulation from traders. Data shows that even short-term holding whales are now sitting on over $7.3 billion in unrealized profit, but they still continue to hold. If this bullish sentiment continues, we could see Bitcoin reaching a new all-time high in March.

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