2021-2-11 11:22 |
A confluence of two classic technical indicators suggests Bitcoin will hit $50,000 in the short-term.
Dubbed as Bull Flag and Bull Pennant, both the patterns represent a period of consolidation after a strong uptrend, except with different structures. For instance, Bull Flags appear like downward sloping channels, wherein an asset moves lower while leaving behind a trail of higher lows and lower lows.
Meanwhile, Bull Pennants look like a Symmetrical Triangle, wherein the price forms higher lows and lower highs until its upper and lower trendlines converge. Both indicators point to trend continuation, meaning an asset would likely breakout to the upside after exiting their ranges.
The breakout’s length comes to be as higher as the flagpole’s height, i.e., the uptrend before the consolidation.
Double Bullish ConfluenceBitcoin is forming the two bullish patterns on its one-hour chart, with its previous flagpole’s length coming at $8,750. Therefore, the indicators note that the next price breakout could take BTC/USD as high as $8,725.
The bold and black region represents Bitcoin’s Bullish Pennant. Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com
As of now, the pair is trading just above $45,000. Considering it consolidates further into the Pennant pattern, reaching the apex (~$44,500) before suggesting a breakout move, the upside price target would shift towards $53,225 (after adding $44,500 and $8,725).
The same theory holds valid for the Bullish Flag indicator, as shown in the chart below, except its breakout target may vary.
Bitcoin breakout target may vary in the bullish flag’s case. Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com
If the retracement goes any deeper than 50 percent, it may invalidate the entire Bullish Flag structure. Meanwhile, a breakout above the upper trendline could lead to a flight higher with a length potentially equal to the flagpole’s size (again, $8,725). The move should accompany a spike in trade volumes and momentum (represented via the Relative Strength Indicator in the chart above).
Bitcoin FundamentalsMore reasons to stay bullish on Bitcoin come from recent events, including Tesla’s $1.5 billion investment into the cryptocurrency as an alternative to its cash reserves and Twitter’s hopefulness to copy the trade. Many analysts believe that Bitcoin would become a de-facto asset in the corporates’ balance sheets.
“Bitcoin is engineered to convert your balance sheet from a liability to an asset,” said Michael Saylor, the CEO of MicroStrategy. “It’s a million times better than gold; it moves at the speed of light, more than 100 million people are using it now and approaching 1 billion users in five years, with millennials leading the way.”
Ki-Young Ju, the CEO of blockchain analytics firm CryptoQuant, also noted a spike in stablecoin deposits across all the cryptocurrency exchanges. It typically means that traders are loading up their exchange wallets with dollar-pegged tokens so to use them later to purchase cryptocurrencies like bitcoin.
Stablecoin deposits are rising across exchanges. Source: CryptoQuant
“I think we’ll see 50k soon,” said Mr. Ju.
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