Treasury bills continue to soar as fed swaps price in peak policy rate of 5.5% in December

2023-3-1 19:33

Our Analysis We expect short-term treasury yields to start taking allocation from other assets as savers get rewarded by central banks during this hawkish period. However, the debasement rate far exceeds the return adjusted for inflation. This could be bearish for crypto as treasury bills (U.S. 06 Month Yield) are over 5%, the highest level since 2007. US 06MY & Fed Funds Futures December: (Source: TradingView) Highlights According to Bloomberg, cash is now paying more than a traditional stock portfolio for the first time in over two decades. Six-month T-Bill yields surpass 5% for the first time since 2007. The last time this happened was in the early years of the 2000s. December Fed Funds Futures are now trading at 5.4%

 

Cash is king: (Source: Bloomberg)

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