2026-5-15 18:00 |
Polymarket’s push to lift its CFTC ban is not just a venue story; it’s a fight over whether “reality markets” on war, pandemics and macro become a regulated US asset class or stay an offshore grey zone. Polymarket is in… origin »
Bitcoin price in Telegram @btc_price_every_hour
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New on-chain analysis of Polymarket indicates that headline loss figures tell an incomplete story. According to defioasis. eth, roughly 70% of Polymarket’s 1. 7 million trading addresses have realized losses, while close to 30% have booked profits.
2026-1-1 09:16 | |
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Kalshi had nearly $130 million in live 2026 PGA Championship-related volume by Day 1, with the outright winner market alone above $110 million. Scottie Scheffler remains the favorite across all prediction markets.
Lawmakers want internal prediction market platform records subpoenaed to identify traders behind suspicious Iran-linked trades, including oil futures, as insider trading crackdown ramps up. The post House Democrats Seek Prediction Market Records Amid Suspicious Iran War, Oil Trades appeared first on DeFi Rate.
U.S. President Donald Trump arrived in Beijing on May 13 for a formal state visit at the invitation of Chinese President Xi Jinping. The visit marks a renewed high-level diplomatic engagement between the world’s two largest economies amid ongoing strategic…
Dan Osborn polls tied with Pete Ricketts in Nebraska Senate race, but prediction markets are not buying his story. The post Markets Not Buying Dan Osborn Nebraska Upset Story Despite Tight Polls appeared first on DeFi Rate.
Kalshi hit a record $4. 13B in weekly notional volume, up 8. 5% WoW, while Polymarket fell 6. 2% to $1. 60B. Kalshi now holds 72. 1% of combined volume. The post Kalshi Sets Weekly High $4.
Former Democratic Gov. Roy Cooper has a sizeable lead in both polls and prediction markets in a state that has leaned Republican. The post Roy Cooper Is Making Prediction Markets Forget North Carolina Is Republican Territory appeared first on DeFi Rate.