Mid May Update: Technicals

OMGBTC looks pretty similar to the rest of the atlcoins’ charts. It is being hammered down into new lows with every passing day and it is stuck in the descending triangle that started back in beginning of the April. OMG broke mid-term and short term floors and support lines to stoop to the current low of 22k satoshis. This is awfully close to its all time low in BTC that it recorded in the first weeks of it publich trading back in July 2017. OMG was worth 21k satoshis at that time.

When and where will this anguish stop? That is bitcoin’s decision, not OMG’s.

On the shorter timeframes like 4H, the struggle to hold current levels is conspicuous. We are looking for an increased volume and volatility with OMG needing to climb up above EMA50 and the upper line of the descending channel at 24k for us to even consider an entry position. Should it win back the last significant support at 31k satoshis, we can speak of an actual moderate bull run.

Considering that market is completely focused on bitcoin’s fight with the newly acquired height, altcoins are rotting on the racks and waiting for their season to commence. While that wait goes on, OMG and other altcoins slowly lose value to BTC and go back to their all time lows. Entering OMG right now would be a textbook example of “catching a knife” trading move as there seems to be a lot of room to travel downwards before hitting the support and rebound zones.

Our approach in situations similar to this one, would be a tiered entry position, where you buy a chunk at these prices and set other buy bids right above the significant support lines.

OmiseGo is an Ethereum-based platform that strives to decentralize payment networks and create an open, public financial system. Its goal is to provide the solution to the fundamental coordination problem among payment processors, financial institutions, and gateways.

True to its motto ‘Unbank the Banked’, it aims to provide good financial services to all.

The project plans to offer a proof-of-stake based blockchain and a white-label software development kit (SDK) that can be used to create custom financial products for users.

OmiseGO aims to provide the underlying network which includes features like e-wallet services, a decentralized exchange, liquidity mechanisms, and clearinghouse services. Using these technologies the team hopes to allow developers to offer traditional banking services including payments, remittances, payroll deposits, business-to-business services, supply-chain finance, loyalty programs, asset management, and asset trading.

The company behind OMG is founded in 2013, Omise is a venture-backed payment services company operating in Thailand, Japan, Singapore, and Indonesia. 

Roadmap contains no time estimation, which is convenient when you constantly miss deadlines. When there are no deadlines, there is nothing to miss. These are the upgrades and developments that are listed as upcoming on their official roadmap:

The downfall of altcoins that were mainstream media darlings at the start of the year, OMISEGO among them, can be attributed, in part, to new, naive investors getting scared off once the bear market kicked in with a vengeance. Every resurgence of bitcoin in recent period, was met with the, for the most part, weakened ability of altcoins to rally with it.

Reason for that can be novice investors learning from their mistakes, while smart money that was previously watching from the sidelines has begun to enter into bitcoin.

These entities weren’t about to buy BTC when it was trading at an all-time high, but they’ll take a look now, having missed the boat the first time around. None of them, it seems, are interested in altcoins however, despite the fact that many are trading at a 5x discount. Institutional investors may be cautious, but they’re not foolish.

You can also check out our ZIL Price prediction.

Some altcoins will continue to have some speculative value for the foreseeable future. But just like the now infamous tulips, the hysteria will eventually subside. We are already witnessing the first phases of that slide and even though most of the bag holders react emotionally to articles that criticize their coins, these observations are not opinionated but based on the developments on the market. You better start emotionally detaching yourself from your “great sounding” coin because if goes nowhere, ideas are worthless without execution and real users that see value in the project.

2018 was a very interesting year overall for the broader DLT community, “ICO projects” came and burst in a spectacular, fireworks similar fashion.

While the mass death of barely-alive-in-the-first-place projects causes some uncertainty and skepticism among the newcomers, it is something veterans and pioneers of this space have been longing for.

In order for DLT to become established, we need quality over quantity, we need convergence on standards and consolidation of communities to bring to life what we’ve been working on for years. With less noise, 2019 will act as a Darwinian selection mechanism, much like that of which the IT companies post-dotCom Bubble experienced.

This is a good thing and absolutely necessary for the real maturation of the space.

OMISEGO, as the rest of the market, is tied at the hip of bitcoin’s price action. If bitcoin embarks on another bull run, OMISEGO can hope for one as well. Since that is very unlikely, don’t expect much to change for OMISEGO price-wise in this year. So 2019 will be a year of boring sideways action with minor bitcoin ignited jumps and slumps.

In general:

The main currency in cryptocurrency markets is Bitcoin and given this, altcoins tend to fuel Bitcoin runs and Bitcoin tends to do the same in return. Given this relationship, Bitcoin price movements (or lack thereof) tend to effect altcoin prices.

When Bitcoin goes up swiftly, it will likely:

In cases when Bitcoin plunges, it will likely:

When Bitcoin moves sideways, it will likely:

To summarize, Bitcoin is the focal point of the crypto market in many ways, and with BTC trading pairs on every exchange, the gravity of Bitcoin is hard to evade.

Overall, the price change of any altcoin token is explained by the dynamics of the bitcoin-influenced market. However, there are also fundamental reasons for the individual token rise and fall in price, which can be pinned down to a big tech upgrade or more often, big partnership.

The majority of projects will fail — some startups are created just to gather funds and disappear, some would not handle the competition, but most are just ideas that look good on paper, but in reality, are useless for the market. 

Vitalik Buterin, co-founder of Ethereum said:

“There are some good ideas, there are a lot of very bad ideas, and there are a lot of very, very bad ideas, and quite a few scams as well”

However, not all projects have the same chance of failing (risk), nor do they have the same potential upside (reward).

As a result of ICO teams’ incompetence and lack of integrity, fueled by basic human instinct that is greed and crypto investors’ naivety, over 95% of successful ICOs and cryptocurrency projects will fail and their investors will lose money. The other 5% of projects will become the new Apple, Google or Alibaba in the cryptoindustry. Will OMISEGO be among those 5%?

If you asked us this beginning last year, we would unequivocally say yes. But 2018 was a huge disappointment that hugely modifies that answer to its complete opposite – NO.

In theory, because of its parent company, Omise and its payment product, OmiseGO has a lot of high-profile strategic partnerships. Ethereum co-founders Vitalik Buterin and Gavin Wood are among its advisors, and it’s endorsed by the Thai Ministry of Finance and Bank of Thailand. Omise plans to use the OmiseGO platform to supplement its existing payment network, which is currently accepted by companies like McDonalds and Alipay.

However, the lack of proper communication and constant missed deadlines soured OMG holders and fostered a toxic community around the project. Check out this post for more information on that. When it comes to real, tangible results – OMG came out to one big nothing.

Recent events, or lack of them, have shown OMG has greatly overestimated themselves and underestimated what they are trying to build. There are no guarantees they will actually succeed in what they aim to build. The scope of this project already seemed big, it might just be too big. If they struggle to get an initial, basic iteration out like this, wait until things really get complex. Initial iterations will be so basic they are not even close to what the creators and investors have in mind. Staking is way out of sight and the team now refuses to put dates on things. That outlook is depressing.

The project is essentially running on fumes of old glory right now, with a group of miserable holders grouching at the sight of their deflated OMG bags.

All of this summed up means one thing: OMISEGO might live through couple of orchestrated and, for a regular trader, completely unpredictable pumps but the majority of time will be murky sideways trading with small volume and no significant interest from the market.

Price will heavily depend on what BTC will do and since many analysts think BTC will not be making big moves in this year, it is hard to expect OMISEGO will do them either. The price will probably stagnate and record slow-moving depreciation or appreciation depending on the team activity, potential technological breakthrough or high-level partnership.

With the market being completely unpredictable, forecasting the cryptocurrency price is really more of a gamble and luck rather than a data driven guesstimate.

How is ENJ Future looking like?

Let’s throw a glance at the eminent publications and personalities, and their predictions regarding the OMISEGO price, which will give us another point of view to consider:

Cryptoground.com is cryptocurrecy prediction algorithm that is moderately to overly bullish on most of coins, similarly on OMISEGO token as well. They forecast OMISEGO to climb up to $6.5 per token by EOY, which means a 4x increase in comparison to the current price.

Walletinvestor is a popular website that does technical analysis-based price predictions of various cryptocurrencies and traditionally has a skeptical outlook for most coins, but especially for OMISEGO. According to them, OMISEGO is expected to sink by more than 5x – from the current $1.57 to $0.27 by the end of the year.

Trading beasts is on a diametrically opposite side of Walletinvestor and sees a much more bullish future for OmiseGo token. Their algo forecasts that OMISEGO can ascend to around $3.71 within a year which means it will essentially grow 2.5x in value in the next year.

Another crypto prediction algorithm that is most conservative in its approach of the 4 we enumerated here – DCP usually predicts price to hover around the same level as the current state, forecasting a twofold increase or reduction for certain coins. OMISEGO is on the bullish side of their algo that sees it reaching $2.94 per coin by December 2019.

OMISEGO has been one of the most hyped crypto projects that was a true media darling even during the peak of 2017 crypto frenzy that spawned thousands of new coins. However, despite the big hype built behind it, there is a shroud of doubt around the token’s viability and general competence of OMG team to pull off the laid out plan. The only driving force for the OMG price is remnants of old hype machine that catapulted the project to the lists of most promising altcoins worldwide. Unfortunately, long-term OMGdoesn’t seem to be a solid investment and price in 2020 might be artificially held around the same level as now – $1.57.

If OMG survives to see 2023, which is highly unlikely, the token would surely be at 10-100x of the current value which means it would be at $15 – $150 per token.

Again, should OMG survive to see 2025, which is highly unlikely, the token would surely be at 100x+ of the current value which means it would be at $150+ per token.

Predicting prices of novel, highly volatile and risky asset classes is a thankless task – best answer is no one knows. Educated guess is that realistic OMG price for the foreseeable future is somewhere between its current price and zero.

We don’t yet know which crypocurrencies will make it out of the crypto winter we’re wandering in right now. There are plenty of coins that stand a good chance of weathering the crypto storm and perhaps becoming more relevant as the market contracts and devours some of the weaker projects. However, there are even more of those projects who are already dead but no one noticed yet.

But, looking at things from this point in time and place, it’s reasonable to say that OmiseGo had its five minutes of glory but failed to seize the opportunity. The project is most likely going to die a slow death, leaking value month by month until an official shop closed announcement is released.

The post OmiseGo (OMG) Price Analysis And Prediction 2019 – Disappointment Grows As Price Keeps Falling (Mid May Update) appeared first on CaptainAltcoin.

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