2026-3-1 12:09 |
When U. S. and Israeli strikes hit Iran early Saturday morning, prediction markets faced the scenario critics and regulators had warned about days earlier. Kalshi’s Ali Khamenei ‘out of office’ contracts saw $21. origin »
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Polymarket has paid at least $350,000 to social media influencers over a 14-month period, with many of those creators later promoting the prediction market platform on X without clearly disclosing a paid relationship, according to a POLITICO investigation based on…
Justin Murphy stunned prediction markets in New Jersey’s GOP Senate primary, defeating an 80% favorite as traders poured more than $600K into a race with little impact on November. The post Murphy Upsets Prediction Markets in New Jersey GOP Senate Primary appeared first on DeFi Rate.
Prediction markets favor a Karen Bass–Spencer Pratt runoff in the Los Angeles Mayor race. Despite Pratt's surge, traders still give Bass a commanding 75% chance to win November. The post Prediction Markets See Bass-Pratt Runoff Taking Shape For Los Angeles Mayor appeared first on DeFi Rate.
As California governor primary votes continue to be counted, Xavier Becerra remains the frontrunner at prediction markets with odds at 77-81% to be the next Golden State governor. The post Prediction Markets Still Favor Becerra as California Primary Count Drags On appeared first on DeFi Rate.
Letter mentions CFTC’s “posture concerning prediction markets” in request for investigation into the agency’s compliance and resource allocation. The post Congress Members Call on Inspector General to Review CFTC Regulatory Practices appeared first on DeFi Rate.
A $175 million Polymarket market on MicroStrategy's Bitcoin holdings resolved against traders after the platform posted a late rules clarification, reigniting questions about whether its UMA oracle system is fit for purpose.
Prediction markets tighten but still favor Democrats in Maine, with Platner holding 60-65% odds despite a recent texting scandal. The post Platner Scandal Barely Moves Maine Senate Prediction Market Odds appeared first on DeFi Rate.