2025-5-16 19:00 |
Litecoin is back on traders’ radar after breaking out above a key resistance level earlier this month. After spending most of Q1 2025 in a downtrend, it suddenly flipped the script with a strong move up toward $110.
But now, things are getting interesting again. The Litecoin price has dropped back below $100 and is sitting around $96.80. With trading volume also down by about 25% today and the price slipping nearly 3%, the big question is: is this just a healthy pullback, or is the rally already losing steam?
Traders are keeping a close eye on support levels to see if the recent momentum can hold up or if Litecoin is headed for another leg down.
What the Chart and Indicators Are SayingThe chart paints a picture of recovery met with hesitation. In early May, Litecoin broke above a descending trendline that had acted as resistance since February. It also cleared the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) near $99.95, confirming the start of a possible bullish phase.
That breakout took LTC price up to $110, where it hit local resistance. Since then, the asset has pulled back sharply and now trades just below the SMA. The current support zone between $93 and $95 aligns with the trendline retest, which could act as a springboard if defended.
Source: TradingView.comBelow that, $87 to $88 remains the next key level to watch, a zone that previously acted as resistance during the April consolidation. If bulls cannot reclaim $100, a deeper correction becomes more likely.
Meanwhile, the resistance zone at $100 to $102 is still valid. A successful push through this range would bring $110 back into play and potentially open a path toward $120.
Where Momentum Indicators StandThe daily MACD remains positive at 5.02 and continues to show upward pressure, supporting a longer-term bullish view. The Ultimate Oscillator is sitting at 54.06, slightly above the midpoint, suggesting steady buying interest across multiple timeframes.
The Rate of Change (ROC) is also positive at 7.79, which reflects bullish pressure over the past two weeks. Bull/Bear Power sits at 4.77, showing bulls still have some control, even during the current retracement. The Commodity Channel Index (CCI), however, is neutral at 38.36, indicating that LTC is neither overbought nor oversold.
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IndicatorValueInterpretationMACD (12,26)5.02Bullish momentum above signal lineCCI (14)38.36Neutral, no strong momentum in either directionUltimate Oscillator54.06Slightly bullish, above 50 midlineRate of Change (ROC)7.79Strong recent upward price movementBull/Bear Power4.77Bulls maintaining control Litecoin (LTC) Price ForecastIn the short term, Litecoin must reclaim the 200-day SMA and push above $100 to keep bullish momentum alive. If this happens, the LTC price could revisit $110 and possibly head toward $120. However, failure to defend the $95 support zone may lead to a drop toward $87, where the next cluster of demand likely sits.
So, is it too late to buy LTC?
Not entirely. But it may no longer be early either. The initial breakout has happened. Now, the asset is in a cooling-off phase. Traders looking for a lower-risk entry may prefer to wait for either a successful retest of support or a clean breakout above resistance. Momentum remains in favor of the bulls, but confirmation will be key in the coming sessions.
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