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Factors that can Sway Pace of Rate Hikes
High inflation could cause the Fed to raise rates above expectations, but what if growth and consumer spending slow down? дальше »
2022-3-15 09:00
Spring Planting Season Comes with Challenges
The planting of crops to feed the world are caught in the crosshairs of a surge in oil prices, La Ni дальше »
2022-3-11 21:13
Volatility spikes vs. liquidity – A longer-term perspective
Take a deep dive into how heightened volatility impacts deeply liquidly markets like E-mini S&P 500 futures, rebound rates, and effects on cost to trade (CTT). дальше »
2022-3-11 02:00
Five Phase Transitions in Motion
The nature of risk is changing as inflation gives way to rate hikes, the pandemic becomes endemic, and as geopolitical tensions escalate. дальше »
2022-3-8 10:00
The Day Omicron Landed on Oil Markets
A look at how oil markets reacted to news of the Omicron virus' arrival in the U.S. on the Friday after Thanksgiving Day last year. дальше »
2022-3-6 10:00
Spotting Bitcoin Rallies and Slumps
A surge in fees charged by miners often precedes a slump in bitcoin prices, and the fees tend to drop ahead of rallies. дальше »
2022-3-1 10:00
Is Gold About to Break-Out of Narrow Trading Range?
As expectations for rate hikes peak, gold might be at the cusp of breaking out of its months-long narrow trading range. дальше »
2022-2-24 10:00
Can Fed Rate Hikes Reverse Shifts in Demand?
A massive shift in demand from services to manufactured goods caused supply chain issues, spiking inflation to 7.5%. дальше »
2022-2-24 10:00
The Path Ahead for U.S. Economy
Will there be surprises as the Fed ends asset purchases and raises rates to beat back inflation that has already raised market volatility? дальше »
2022-2-16 10:00
Mining Revenue and Bitcoin Trends
The level of miners' revenue per transaction could offer insights into the rise and fall of bitcoin prices. дальше »
2022-2-16 10:00
Trading SOFR Options
Learn about CME Three-Month SOFR options, how they complement and compare to Eurodollar options and intermarket spread trading opportunities. дальше »
2022-2-14 20:39
Gold Caught Between Inflation and Rate Expectations
With inflation topping 7%, gold as a traditional hedge against rising consumer prices should be rallying. But why is it not? дальше »
2022-2-14 10:00
How Balance Sheet Shrinkage Impacts Volatility
With the Fed set to shrink its balance sheet, we examine how such exercises in the past impacted volatility. дальше »
2022-2-9 10:00
Central Bank Policies Diverge
The last three times the Fed raised rates, in 1994-95, 2004-06, and 2015-18, it beat expectations as reflected in Fed Funds futures. дальше »
2022-2-9 10:00
FX in Focus as Central Bank Policies Diverge
The monetary policies of the world's major central banks are diverging, putting the spotlight on FX markets. дальше »
2022-2-7 10:00
Fed Rate Hikes: Expectations and Reality
A review of how investor expectations compared with actual Fed rate hikes over the last four tightening cycles. дальше »
2022-2-7 10:00
Will Fed Rate Hikes Beat Expectations, Again?
The last three times the Fed raised rates, in 1994-95, 2004-06, and 2015-18, it beat expectations as reflected in Fed Funds futures. дальше »
2022-2-1 10:00
Fragile Economic Outlook for 2022
The current consensus on inflation, employment, and interest rate outlooks seem fragile and can be swayed by various factors. дальше »
2022-2-1 10:00
Geopolitical Tensions Underpin Black Sea Wheat
Wheat prices in the Black Sea region are holding up better than those in Australia and U.S. amid geopolitical tensions. дальше »
2022-1-27 14:00
Fast-Changing Financial Landscape
Is there a need to adjust the stocks-equities mix in investment portfolios amid a fast-changing financial landscape? дальше »
2022-1-25 14:00
Options Observer: Trade ATM volatility in an accessible size with VOLQ futures
Learn how a reduction in the VOLQ futures contract size enables more market participants to use it to trade at-the-money volatility of the Nasdaq-100 Index. дальше »
2022-1-22 21:00
The Great Global Portfolio Rebalancing?
Some investors may consider changes to their portfolios amid rising inflation and the Fed's shift to a more neutral policy. дальше »
2022-1-22 14:00
Investors Expect Sharp Inflation Pullback
Investors are expecting inflation to be halved to 3.5% this year, and pricing for commodity prices to edge lower. дальше »
2022-1-19 14:00
Investor Expectations for Rates, Inflation and Commodities
Will inflation cool off in 2022 along with prices for a range of commodities? We look into market pricing by investors for answers. дальше »
2022-1-12 14:00
Volatility Ahead for U.S. Treasuries
U.S. Treasuries could be in for a volatile ride as the Fed looks certain to hikes rates and shrink its balance sheet amid high inflation. дальше »
2022-1-12 14:00
Fed Rates Lift-Off
Can the Fed begin to raise rates in 2022 even before it completes winding down its asset purchases? дальше »
2022-1-4 14:00
Yield Curve Scenarios
Could the highly anticipated Fed rate hikes in 2022 flatten or steepen the Treasuries yield curve? Or is there a third possibility? дальше »
2021-12-24 14:00
Tracking Commodities With Li Keqiang Index
The Li Keqiang Index is gaining stature as an indicator of price trends for a range of commodities, from oil to metals to grains. дальше »
2021-12-15 14:00
Inflation Risk Premium
With inflation soaring to 30-year highs, we examine whether the surge was caused by supply, demand, or both. дальше »
2021-12-15 14:00
Fertilizer Monthly Update – November 2021
See the monthly update on CME Group Fertilizer swaps and futures including volume and open interest. дальше »
2021-12-14 19:00
Five Key Questions for U.S. Treasury Yields
A look at how the Treasury yield curve might be shaped in 2022 by a variety of factors, from inflation to higher rates to robust growth. дальше »
2021-12-14 14:00
Clean Energy Drive Buoys Cobalt
The expanding electric vehicle industry plus the push to reduce carbon emissions is lifting demand for battery metal cobalt. дальше »
2021-12-14 14:00
Is Inflation Fueled by Supply or Demand?
With inflation soaring to 30-year highs, we examine whether the surge was caused by supply, demand, or both. дальше »
2021-12-14 14:00
Gold Underperforms amid Rate-Hike Expectations
Gold prices are up 20% from their March 2020 lows, a far cry from the more than 100% rally in stocks or copper. дальше »
2021-12-5 14:00
Another Solid Monthly Jobs Report?
Here are some of the key data to look out for when the November employment report comes out on Dec 3. дальше »
2021-12-5 14:00
Battery Demand for Lithium Soars
The demand for lithium for use in batteries has risen exponentially amid efforts to reduce carbon emission. дальше »
2021-11-24 14:00
: Palm Oil Monthly Update
Get the latest highlights for Malaysian Crude Palm Oil futures and swaps at CME Group. дальше »
2021-11-23 19:00
An Altered Inflation, Jobs Landscape in 2022?
The surge in inflation, the number of job openings and voluntary resignations are at the highest levels in decades. дальше »
2021-11-23 14:00
Lithium, Cobalt Lead Charge for Alternative Fuels
The growing momentum towards alternative energy sources has put the focus on battery metals lithium and cobalt. дальше »
2021-11-23 14:00
Are Wages Keeping Pace with Inflation?
The Phillips Curve debate linking inflation to unemployment might be irrelevant amid today's pandemic-driven forces. дальше »
2021-11-23 14:00
Why is Japan’s Nikkei 225 Underperforming U.S. Stocks?
Japanese stocks are trading nearly one-third below their 1989 peak in sharp contrast to record-setting U.S. equities. дальше »
2021-11-15 14:00
Micro Treasury Yield Futures: Two Months In
: Learn how Micro Treasury Yield futures can help with managing potential yield volatility spurred by Fed taper, inflation, and labor market concerns. дальше »
2021-11-15 14:00
A Return to 1970s Stagflation?
Slow growth accompanied by elevated inflation and steadily high unemployment led to stagflation in the 1970s. дальше »
2021-11-10 14:00
Expectations for Multiple Rate Hikes
The momentum for Fed rate hikes is growing, with investors expecting multiple increases over the next two years. дальше »