Can The 600-Day MA Support Line Push Bitcoin Again?

2022-4-14 22:00

Charts show the Bitcoin 600-day moving average (MA) has once again met with the BTC price curve, will the line act as support for the crypto once again?

Bitcoin Price Curve Is Once Again Touching The 600-Day MA

As pointed out by an analyst in a CryptoQuant post, the BTC price has once more dropped down to the 600-day MA support line.

A “moving average” (or MA in short) is an analytical tool that averages a given quantity over a specific period of time, and constantly updates itself as time passes and the value of said quantity (the price of Bitcoin in this case) changes. Hence the “moving” in the name.

MAs can be quite useful for analysis as they smooth out the price curve by hiding any local random fluctuations. Such short-term ups and downs in the value of BTC generally aren’t relevant to any long-term trend study so MAs are usually employed when looking over large timespans.

An analyst can choose to take an MA over any time period, whether that be only one minute, or even one thousand days.

Related Reading | Bitcoin Data: Number Of Active Entities Remain In Bear Market Channel

The quant in the post has referred to the 600-day version. Here is the chart showing its trend vs the price of Bitcoin over the past year:

The 600-day MA curve seems to have met the BTC price once again | Source: CryptoQuant

As you can see in the above graph, since the price has declined following the all-time high formation last year, the value of Bitcoin has made touches of the 600-day MA several times.

During each of those retests, the 600-day MA curve line has acted as support for the crypto’s price, and helped it propel back up.

Now once again the two lines have touched each other, but it remains to be seen whether support will hold this time or not.

Related Reading | Arthur Hayes’ Crystal Ball Predicts: Bitcoin And Ethereum To See Carnage In June

If the price trends below the 600-day MA curve, then Bitcoin may observe some real decline, just like when it lost the 200-day MA support.

BTC Price

At the time of writing, Bitcoin’s price floats around $39.8k, down 9% in the last seven days. Over the past month, the crypto has accumulated 2% in gains.

The below chart shows the trend in the price of the coin over the last five days.

Looks like the price of BTC crashed down a few days  back | Source: BTCUSD on TradingView

After holding above the $40k level for almost a month, Bitcoin seems to have once again declined below the level. Following the drop, the price has moved sideways over the last couple of days.

Featured image from Unsplash.com, charts from TradingView.com, CryptoQuant.com

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