Rate Hikes On The Horizon, Will It Doom Bitcoin Below $20,000?

2023-3-8 23:14

Bitcoin continues to trade sideways as volatility in the market’s most prominent cryptocurrency diminishes. Bitcoin has successfully held the $22,000 support level, although it did suffer a dip below $22,000 that was quickly bought by the bulls. 

The volatility of the cryptocurrency market has been poor in recent weeks. BTC’s short-term implied volatility (IV) has recently fallen below 40%, and its trading volume has hit new lows. This indicates that BTC has entered an “extremely tight liquidity phase,” according to a Twitter post by market researcher and data analyst WuBlockchain.

Additionally, Bitcoin liquidations in the last 24 hours topped $70 million as the flagship crypto asset fell below $20,000, wiping out the liquidity of long positions on exchanges’ order books, according to Glassnode data.

Further Hawkish Policies Will Delay BTC’s Bull Market?

With the recent statements made by the Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell, the crypto market fears further increase as there is potential for further interest rates to control inflation levels. This spike in rates is likely to affect the price of the top cryptocurrencies on the market and cause a further decline in the total crypto market capitalization, which is currently below the trillion-dollar level.

Per the financial institution’s mandate, Jerome Powell has stated that they will continue to “use tools to reduce inflation over time” to decrease inflation numbers to 2%. 

Historically, when the Fed introduced restrictive monetary policies that led to higher interest rates, stocks and cryptocurrencies recorded losses; higher interest rates generally affected investors’ appetite to dive into the cryptocurrency market. Powell added:

The latest economic data have come in stronger than expected, which suggests that the ultimate level of interest rates is likely to be higher than previously anticipated. If the totality of the data were to indicate that faster tightening is warranted, we would be prepared to increase the pace of rate hikes

Michael Van de Poppe, CEO and founder of trading platform Eight Global, addressed the most recent statements by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, stating that selling has increased for risk-on assets in anticipation of higher interest rates and a faster pace to control inflation, based on the latest news and the “likelihood” of a 50 basis point (bps) rate hike in the coming months.

Critical Area For Bitcoin 

As Bitcoin retests the $22,000 liquidity of long positions, more than 5,000 BTC have left exchanges in the last 24 hours, according to the on-chain data analysis firm CryptoQuant, which also stated that the crypto market is primarily bearish. 

The spike in BTC outflows from exchanges could support bullish investors. The less BTC is available on the market, the more likely it is to hold above critical support. 

Bitcoin is trading above its support line at $22,300, down -1.3% in the past 24 hours. In the broader time frames, BTC has fallen significantly in the seven and fourteen-day time frames, posting retracements of -5.5% and 10%, respectively. If Bitcoin fails to hold above its nearest support, it seems poised to visit the lower levels of $21,000 and $20,000.

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView.com 

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bitcoin below support level although held diminishes

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