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Kalshi’s January Transactions Surge Past December Total as Exchange Opens Washington Office

Kalshi is on track to set a new monthly activity record after surpassing its December transaction total in less than four weeks. This shows demand for regulated prediction markets as the company simultaneously increases its policy footprint in Washington.

Government Shutdown Odds Spike To 80% As Funding Deadline Approaches

Prediction market traders are pricing an 80% likelihood of another government shutdown. They're also anticipating how many days this one would last. The post Government Shutdown Odds Spike To 80% As Funding Deadline Approaches appeared first on DeFi Rate.

DAZN’s Prediction Market Push Faces a Hard Question: Can a Streaming Giant Compete, and at What Cost?

DAZN’s decision to integrate prediction markets into its US platform through a partnership with Polymarket aims to combine live sports streaming with real-time financial speculation. But there are questions about regulation, competition, and the exposure of younger audiences to betting products.

Senate GOP Drops New Crypto Bill Draft As Odds of Passing Stagnate

The updated CLARITY Act draft from Senate republicans reshapes SEC and CFTC oversight as prediction markets now peg its chances at just under 60%. The post Senate GOP Drops New Crypto Bill Draft As Odds of Passing Stagnate appeared first on DeFi Rate.

CA Governor Hopeful Eric Swalwell Touts His Prediction Market Odds

Swalwell tweeted about his Kalshi odds to be the next CA governor, a campaign tactic we could see others mimic. Meanwhile, negative headlines challenging his eligibility barely moved his odds. The post CA Governor Hopeful Eric Swalwell Touts His Prediction Market Odds appeared first on DeFi Rate.

Prediction Markets Go Live Inside Solflare Wallet With Kalshi Liquidity

Prediction markets have moved directly into self-custodial wallets for the first time, with Solflare launching native prediction market trading inside its application. The integration allows users to trade real-world event outcomes on Solana without leaving the wallet, marking a significant step toward mainstream distribution for event-based contracts.

Polymarket’s Loss Statistics Hide a Different Reality: Most Traders Lose Small, While Liquidity Concentrates at the Top

New on-chain analysis of Polymarket indicates that headline loss figures tell an incomplete story. According to defioasis. eth, roughly 70% of Polymarket’s 1. 7 million trading addresses have realized losses, while close to 30% have booked profits.