Here’s When Analysts Think the Crypto Bear Market Could Finally End

2022-11-23 19:15

The crypto bear market has perplexed analysts, but recent short-term Bitcoin and altcoin gains have reignited investor hopes. 

The global cryptocurrency market has been in a drawn out downtrend, with prices of top cryptos left in tatters following the collapse of FTX. The top two coins, Bitcoin and Ethereum are so far down by over 20% and 30% respectively this month.

While short-term gains offered the market a bit of respite in the bearish winter, there are few clear catalysts for a price rise in the near future. This, however, has not deterred analysts from speculating whether the bear market is close to an end or not. 

The crypto market cap is now at $828.74 billion, appreciating by 5.93% over the last day, fueling some traders’ hopes.

Crypto Bear Market Recovery on the Cards

Pseudonymous analyst and trader SmartContracter told his 214,000 Twitter followers that macro cycle-wise, BTC seemed to be pretty close to a bottom. Bitcoin price near the bottom could mark the end of the bear market. 

Basing their thesis on the BTC three-day chart, the analyst believed that the price is starting to look like there is an ending diagonal forming to finish the bear market ABC pattern.

1/2

macro cycle wise i think #btc is pretty bloody close to a bottom here, BUT i still think there might be another month or so before we see it, starting to look like theres an ending diagonal forming to finish the bear market ABC. pic.twitter.com/DqEsuwYYnt

— Bluntz (@SmartContracter) November 21, 2022

Analyst RektCapital told his 330,000 followers that exchange contagion had become a historical tendency. It occurs close to the absolute BTC bear market bottom. He further said that in previous BTC cycles, it was Bitmex that caused the fall. Prior to that, it was Mt Gox, and this time it is FTX. 

In previous #BTC cycles, it was Bitmex, earlier it was Mt Gox

Now FTX

It’s a pattern

Exchange contagion has become a historical tendency that occurs close to the absolute $BTC Bear Market bottom

Survive the capitulation & you will flourish in the Bull Market#Crypto #Bitcoin

— Rekt Capital (@rektcapital) November 10, 2022

Pseudonymous analyst On-Chain College looked at the BTC Mayer Multiple chart to highlight periods where Bitcoin was oversold compared to its 200-day moving average. The analyst said that such periods are marked with fear, dejection, and anger.

The analyst also added that such periods have historically provided some of the best long-term value zones from where a positive rebound has happened. 

I cleaned up the Mayer Multiple chart to better highlight periods where #Bitcoin is oversold compared to its 200 day moving average.

These periods are times of fear, dejection, and anger.

These periods have also historically provided some of the best long-term value zones. pic.twitter.com/ESKjTWiQxg

— On-Chain College (@OnChainCollege) November 18, 2022 Analyzing the Bottom

Analyst TradingShot, in a TradingView post, highlighted that two weeks ago, BTC saw the strongest weekly volume in over a year. The same could signal a trend reversal to bullish. 

BTC one-week chart | Source: TradingView 

The analyst pointed out that, on a one-week chart, a drastic rise in volume tends to be associated with trend reversals on the Bitcoin chart. The trade volume spike was seen between Nov. 19, 2018, and May 13, 2019, and was the bottom formation of that bear cycle.

However, analyst Ecoinometrics suggested that bad news could still hit BTC in certain stressful financial conditions. 

Over the past 13 years #Bitcoin has only experienced tight financials conditions a handful of times.

So it is hard to tell how it is likely to react.

But I'm gonna go out on a limb and guess it is bad news. pic.twitter.com/GKf0Dnmshz

— ecoinometrics (@ecoinometrics) November 22, 2022

Over the past 13 years, Bitcoin has only experienced trying financial conditions a handful of times. Thus, the analyst expects more bad news to come. 

Disclaimer: BeInCrypto strives to provide accurate and up-to-date information, but it will not be responsible for any missing facts or inaccurate information. You comply and understand that you should use any of this information at your own risk. Cryptocurrencies are highly volatile financial assets, so research and make your own financial decisions.

The post Here’s When Analysts Think the Crypto Bear Market Could Finally End appeared first on BeInCrypto.

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