Gold and silver prices have remained stagnant. Gold is trading around $4,710, failing to break above the 100-SMA level of $4,748. Silver is at $75.69, also under pressure from its 100-SMA level of $76.41. 

Both precious metals have shown higher lows in the past weeks, although the trend is weak due to the lack of a trigger. The trigger may come in the form of the US Federal Reserve. Lower interest rates will likely boost investor interest in buying precious metals in Q3 2026. Here is what the charts say and where gold and silver could go if the Fed finally moves.

There is a high expectation that the Fed will cut interest rates from Q3 2026 onwards. Although inflation has slowed down, economic growth is expected to slow down. The Fed has indicated that it is monitoring the situation closely.

Historically, when the Fed lowers interest rates, it has been favorable for gold and silver prices. Interest rate cuts increase the demand for precious metals since their opportunity cost is lower. Additionally, the US dollar loses value, leading to an increase in the gold price and silver price.

The last two easing cycles saw gold rally 30% to 50% and silver rally 50% to 100% or more. The setup is similar now. The charts are coiled. The trigger is the Fed.

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We had a look at the gold 4-hour chart. The gold price is trading at $4,709.75, down 0.36% on the session. The 100 SMA sits above at $4,748.81, acting as resistance. The gold price has been forming higher lows since the March bottom near $4,600. 

That is a bullish sign. But the momentum is neutral. The RSI is at 44.86, not oversold, not overbought. The gold price is waiting for a trigger. A break above $4,750 would open the door to $4,900 and then $5,100. A break below $4,680 would put the recent lows in play.

Should the Fed reduce rates while indicating further rate reductions, the gold price may rise beyond $4,750 to reach $4,900 to $5,100. Should the easing policy continue, then gold could touch highs above $5,300. If the Fed decides not to cut interest rates or should there be a rise in inflation, the gold price may fall below $4,600 to even fall below $4,500 to approach $4,200.

A scenario that is highly likely is that of a grind up. Gold prices will reclaim $4,750 before gradually rising up to $4,900 within Q4 2026. An increase of about 5%-10%.

The silver 4-hour chart tells a similar story. The silver price is trading at $75.69, down 0.92% on the session. The 100-SMA is trading at $76.41, which serves as resistance. Silver prices have been marking higher lows, yet every bounce is being sold off.

The RSI is trading at 42.54, neutral to mildly bearish. Silver must close above $76.50 to show strength. Resistance levels are at $80, followed by $85-$90. Support levels are at $75, followed by $72, then $68. Silver prices are poised to make a move. The Federal Reserve holds the key.

In the event that the Federal Reserve decides to lower interest rates, then it would be possible for the silver price to rise beyond $80 and reach prices ranging between $85-$90. With high levels of demand, it would be possible for silver to move to as high as $95.

Silver price will remain above $75, break the 100 SMA level of $76.50, and move towards $80 by the fourth quarter of 2026. Above $80, then the target is $85 to $90. Silver tends to be more volatile than gold and hence the upside potential is much higher.

The silver price could see a 15% to 20% rally in a best case scenario. The gold price would lag but still move higher. Both metals are waiting. The Fed is the trigger. The charts are coiled. The next few months will tell if the rate cuts finally unleash the rally that precious metal bulls have been waiting for. 

Major global banks agree that gold is set to surge further in 2026, with the potential to break past $5,000 per ounce. According to JPMorgan, the rally could continue for at least another two years, mainly driven by central bank purchases in emerging markets. The gold price could see new highs if the Fed cuts rates.

A Fed rate cut typically weakens the dollar, lowers real yields, and shifts investor demand toward non yielding assets like gold and silver. These forces act quickly but not uniformly across spot, futures, and short term trading behavior. Lower rates make metals more attractive compared to bonds and cash.

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The post ChatGPT Predicts the Price of Silver and Gold if the Fed Cuts Rates in Q3 2026 appeared first on CaptainAltcoin.

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